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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.29+2.19vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.90+0.37vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii1.74+1.17vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley1.36+0.84vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles1.43-0.32vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California1.96-2.20vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18-2.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.19University of California at Santa Barbara2.290.2%1st Place
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2.37Stanford University2.900.3%1st Place
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4.17University of Hawaii1.740.1%1st Place
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4.84University of California at Berkeley1.360.1%1st Place
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4.68University of California at Los Angeles1.430.1%1st Place
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3.8University of Southern California1.960.1%1st Place
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4.95Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Simone Staff | 21.2% | 19.4% | 18.4% | 16.7% | 12.6% | 7.7% | 4.0% |
| Julia Lambert | 34.7% | 26.7% | 19.1% | 10.5% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Caitlin Schadt | 10.1% | 11.7% | 15.3% | 17.9% | 17.0% | 15.4% | 12.6% |
| Ciara Dorsay | 6.7% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 18.4% | 19.6% | 24.6% |
| Laura Roudebush | 6.9% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 14.7% | 16.1% | 19.7% | 21.4% |
| Grace Yakutis | 13.8% | 15.3% | 15.8% | 16.9% | 16.9% | 12.6% | 8.7% |
| Alyson Crowley | 6.6% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 13.7% | 22.1% | 27.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.