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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.90+1.38vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii1.74+2.16vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California1.96+0.80vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18+1.09vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley1.36-0.19vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles1.43-1.35vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara2.29-3.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.38Stanford University2.900.4%1st Place
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4.16University of Hawaii1.740.1%1st Place
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3.8University of Southern California1.960.1%1st Place
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5.09Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
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4.81University of California at Berkeley1.360.1%1st Place
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4.65University of California at Los Angeles1.430.1%1st Place
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3.11University of California at Santa Barbara2.290.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julia Lambert | 37.2% | 23.7% | 17.7% | 11.4% | 6.8% | 2.0% | 1.2% |
| Caitlin Schadt | 9.5% | 14.0% | 14.5% | 16.6% | 17.3% | 14.9% | 13.2% |
| Grace Yakutis | 12.6% | 17.2% | 16.0% | 16.7% | 15.5% | 13.7% | 8.3% |
| Alyson Crowley | 5.3% | 7.2% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 15.6% | 22.1% | 30.0% |
| Ciara Dorsay | 6.4% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 12.9% | 16.5% | 20.7% | 23.7% |
| Laura Roudebush | 7.6% | 8.5% | 12.4% | 15.3% | 15.6% | 19.7% | 20.9% |
| Simone Staff | 21.4% | 20.7% | 17.9% | 17.7% | 12.7% | 6.9% | 2.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.