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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.29+2.19vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.90+0.35vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California1.96+0.84vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii1.74+0.21vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley1.36-0.18vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18-0.94vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles1.43-2.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.19University of California at Santa Barbara2.290.2%1st Place
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2.35Stanford University2.900.4%1st Place
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3.84University of Southern California1.960.1%1st Place
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4.21University of Hawaii1.740.1%1st Place
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4.82University of California at Berkeley1.360.1%1st Place
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5.06Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
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4.54University of California at Los Angeles1.430.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Simone Staff | 20.7% | 21.4% | 17.8% | 15.3% | 12.4% | 7.9% | 4.5% |
| Julia Lambert | 35.1% | 28.2% | 17.2% | 11.2% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.3% |
| Grace Yakutis | 12.9% | 13.1% | 19.0% | 17.9% | 15.1% | 13.5% | 8.5% |
| Caitlin Schadt | 10.3% | 12.2% | 13.8% | 16.0% | 18.2% | 16.4% | 13.1% |
| Ciara Dorsay | 6.2% | 8.2% | 11.3% | 14.4% | 16.5% | 18.7% | 24.7% |
| Alyson Crowley | 5.9% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 12.6% | 15.7% | 18.9% | 30.9% |
| Laura Roudebush | 8.9% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 12.6% | 17.6% | 22.1% | 17.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.