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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.90+1.33vs Predicted
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2University of California at Los Angeles1.43+2.65vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley1.36+1.78vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara2.29-0.69vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18+0.12vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii1.74-1.83vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California1.96-3.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.33Stanford University2.900.4%1st Place
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4.65University of California at Los Angeles1.430.1%1st Place
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4.78University of California at Berkeley1.360.1%1st Place
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3.31University of California at Santa Barbara2.290.2%1st Place
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5.12Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
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4.17University of Hawaii1.740.1%1st Place
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3.65University of Southern California1.960.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julia Lambert | 37.6% | 24.9% | 17.2% | 10.8% | 6.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Laura Roudebush | 7.6% | 9.1% | 12.1% | 13.8% | 16.3% | 21.9% | 19.2% |
| Ciara Dorsay | 6.9% | 8.0% | 13.5% | 10.6% | 17.0% | 20.6% | 23.4% |
| Simone Staff | 17.7% | 20.3% | 18.5% | 18.1% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 4.0% |
| Alyson Crowley | 5.1% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 15.5% | 18.7% | 32.9% |
| Caitlin Schadt | 10.3% | 13.7% | 13.0% | 17.2% | 17.2% | 15.2% | 13.4% |
| Grace Yakutis | 14.8% | 16.7% | 15.8% | 18.9% | 15.6% | 12.0% | 6.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.