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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Los Angeles1.43+3.57vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.90+0.36vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.29+0.28vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California1.96-0.16vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley1.36-0.18vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii1.74-1.84vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18-2.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.57University of California at Los Angeles1.430.1%1st Place
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2.36Stanford University2.900.4%1st Place
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3.28University of California at Santa Barbara2.290.2%1st Place
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3.84University of Southern California1.960.1%1st Place
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4.82University of California at Berkeley1.360.1%1st Place
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4.16University of Hawaii1.740.1%1st Place
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4.96Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Laura Roudebush | 9.6% | 9.1% | 11.9% | 13.5% | 16.4% | 19.0% | 20.5% |
| Julia Lambert | 35.1% | 27.4% | 17.7% | 10.2% | 6.0% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| Simone Staff | 17.7% | 20.2% | 19.4% | 17.1% | 13.6% | 8.3% | 3.7% |
| Grace Yakutis | 13.7% | 14.1% | 15.4% | 18.5% | 16.3% | 13.5% | 8.5% |
| Ciara Dorsay | 6.6% | 7.4% | 11.9% | 14.0% | 16.4% | 18.8% | 24.9% |
| Caitlin Schadt | 10.8% | 13.1% | 14.1% | 15.7% | 17.1% | 15.7% | 13.5% |
| Alyson Crowley | 6.5% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 14.2% | 22.0% | 28.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.