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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.90+1.40vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley1.36+2.75vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California1.96+0.80vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii1.74+0.17vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles1.43-0.32vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara2.29-2.71vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18-2.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.4Stanford University2.900.4%1st Place
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4.75University of California at Berkeley1.360.1%1st Place
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3.8University of Southern California1.960.1%1st Place
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4.17University of Hawaii1.740.1%1st Place
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4.68University of California at Los Angeles1.430.1%1st Place
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3.29University of California at Santa Barbara2.290.2%1st Place
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4.9Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julia Lambert | 36.5% | 24.9% | 15.8% | 12.6% | 6.7% | 2.1% | 1.4% |
| Ciara Dorsay | 7.0% | 8.7% | 11.8% | 13.3% | 16.0% | 20.1% | 23.1% |
| Grace Yakutis | 12.3% | 15.5% | 18.5% | 16.3% | 16.1% | 13.2% | 8.1% |
| Caitlin Schadt | 11.1% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 18.0% | 18.1% | 15.1% | 13.1% |
| Laura Roudebush | 7.2% | 9.1% | 12.9% | 13.8% | 16.1% | 18.4% | 22.5% |
| Simone Staff | 18.2% | 20.1% | 20.3% | 15.7% | 11.6% | 9.7% | 4.4% |
| Alyson Crowley | 7.7% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 15.4% | 21.4% | 27.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.