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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.90+1.38vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii1.74+2.13vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.29+0.26vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles1.43+0.70vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California1.96-1.14vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley1.36-1.24vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18-2.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.38Stanford University2.900.4%1st Place
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4.13University of Hawaii1.740.1%1st Place
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3.26University of California at Santa Barbara2.290.2%1st Place
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4.7University of California at Los Angeles1.430.1%1st Place
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3.86University of Southern California1.960.1%1st Place
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4.76University of California at Berkeley1.360.1%1st Place
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4.91Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julia Lambert | 37.8% | 23.6% | 16.5% | 12.0% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Caitlin Schadt | 9.7% | 14.0% | 13.6% | 18.6% | 16.3% | 16.0% | 11.8% |
| Simone Staff | 18.0% | 21.6% | 17.9% | 17.3% | 13.5% | 7.3% | 4.4% |
| Laura Roudebush | 7.5% | 8.7% | 12.5% | 12.4% | 16.9% | 20.7% | 21.3% |
| Grace Yakutis | 11.5% | 15.6% | 17.4% | 17.6% | 15.5% | 13.8% | 8.6% |
| Ciara Dorsay | 7.5% | 7.6% | 13.0% | 12.7% | 15.9% | 19.0% | 24.3% |
| Alyson Crowley | 8.0% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 15.8% | 20.3% | 28.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.