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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.38+1.92vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.29+1.10vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii1.74+1.09vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California1.96-0.28vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley1.36-0.25vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18-1.03vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles1.43-2.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.92Stanford University2.380.3%1st Place
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3.1University of California at Santa Barbara2.290.2%1st Place
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4.09University of Hawaii1.740.1%1st Place
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3.72University of Southern California1.960.2%1st Place
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4.75University of California at Berkeley1.360.1%1st Place
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4.97Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
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4.45University of California at Los Angeles1.430.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christina Sakellaris | 27.1% | 21.7% | 17.3% | 13.3% | 10.6% | 6.8% | 3.2% |
| Simone Staff | 21.3% | 22.2% | 17.8% | 16.8% | 10.6% | 7.9% | 3.4% |
| Caitlin Schadt | 12.3% | 12.1% | 15.5% | 15.8% | 16.7% | 14.3% | 13.3% |
| Grace Yakutis | 15.1% | 15.6% | 16.6% | 16.3% | 15.5% | 12.7% | 8.2% |
| Ciara Dorsay | 6.8% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 13.3% | 14.7% | 19.2% | 24.4% |
| Alyson Crowley | 7.5% | 6.7% | 9.9% | 12.5% | 14.4% | 18.7% | 30.3% |
| Laura Roudebush | 9.9% | 11.9% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 17.5% | 20.4% | 17.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.