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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.38+1.96vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California1.96+1.62vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18+2.00vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii1.74+0.08vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara2.29-1.84vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles1.43-1.42vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley1.36-2.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.96Stanford University2.380.3%1st Place
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3.62University of Southern California1.960.1%1st Place
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5.0Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
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4.08University of Hawaii1.740.1%1st Place
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3.16University of California at Santa Barbara2.290.2%1st Place
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4.58University of California at Los Angeles1.430.1%1st Place
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4.59University of California at Berkeley1.360.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christina Sakellaris | 26.7% | 19.8% | 19.3% | 14.0% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 3.4% |
| Grace Yakutis | 14.6% | 17.7% | 17.5% | 17.1% | 14.4% | 11.8% | 6.9% |
| Alyson Crowley | 6.3% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 14.2% | 18.7% | 31.2% |
| Caitlin Schadt | 12.6% | 12.4% | 14.1% | 15.9% | 16.7% | 16.7% | 11.6% |
| Simone Staff | 19.6% | 23.2% | 17.3% | 16.7% | 11.9% | 7.2% | 4.1% |
| Laura Roudebush | 9.3% | 9.3% | 12.3% | 12.9% | 16.3% | 18.9% | 21.0% |
| Ciara Dorsay | 10.9% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 17.4% | 19.0% | 21.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.