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📊 Prediction Accuracy
12.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Stony Brook2.59+2.42vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech0.47+6.91vs Predicted
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3Villanova University1.57+2.84vs Predicted
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4Stevens Institute of Technology1.76+1.45vs Predicted
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6Drexel University0.72+2.42vs Predicted
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7Washington College1.26-0.20vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39-4.08vs Predicted
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9Syracuse University-1.01+3.62vs Predicted
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10Columbia University1.65-4.32vs Predicted
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11Virginia Tech0.47-2.09vs Predicted
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12Monmouth University0.36-2.54vs Predicted
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13University of Rochester0.94-5.20vs Predicted
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14Christopher Newport University1.96-8.93vs Predicted
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15Rochester Institute of Technology-0.49-3.39vs Predicted
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16Princeton University-0.51-4.41vs Predicted
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17U. S. Military Academy-1.54-3.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.42SUNY Stony Brook2.590.2%1st Place
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8.91Virginia Tech0.470.0%1st Place
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5.84Villanova University1.570.1%1st Place
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5.45Stevens Institute of Technology1.760.1%1st Place
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8.42Drexel University0.720.0%1st Place
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6.8Washington College1.260.1%1st Place
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3.92Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.2%1st Place
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12.62Syracuse University-1.010.0%1st Place
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5.68Columbia University1.650.1%1st Place
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8.91Virginia Tech0.470.0%1st Place
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9.46Monmouth University0.360.0%1st Place
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7.8University of Rochester0.940.0%1st Place
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5.07Christopher Newport University1.960.1%1st Place
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11.61Rochester Institute of Technology-0.490.0%1st Place
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11.59Princeton University-0.510.0%1st Place
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13.41U. S. Military Academy-1.540.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vidar Minkovsky | 24.7% | 20.2% | 13.8% | 12.6% | 11.1% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Reid Shanabrook | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 12.0% | 12.5% | 13.6% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Gillette | 8.6% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Roleke | 9.7% | 10.0% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Frederick Piasecki | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 10.9% | 12.6% | 13.0% | 10.5% | 7.6% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Paul Hart | 5.7% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Swikart | 17.3% | 17.0% | 16.7% | 13.0% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Colby | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 11.2% | 16.8% | 24.4% | 26.1% | 0.0% |
| Adam DeVita | 7.8% | 8.3% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Reid Shanabrook | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 12.0% | 12.5% | 13.6% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Nina Van De Vaarst | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 14.1% | 13.1% | 12.6% | 5.6% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Rochon | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Vir Menon | 10.7% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 13.0% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kaylie Byrnes | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 9.1% | 14.3% | 19.0% | 20.4% | 11.5% | 0.0% |
| George Kevrekidis | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 13.5% | 18.5% | 19.5% | 11.6% | 0.0% |
| Nina Tucker | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 11.1% | 20.9% | 47.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.