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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Syracuse University0.19+1.41vs Predicted
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2Drexel University0.23+0.50vs Predicted
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3Princeton University-0.47+0.40vs Predicted
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4Washington College-0.37-0.70vs Predicted
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5University of Delaware-0.59-1.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.41Syracuse University0.1930.8%1st Place
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2.5Drexel University0.2328.2%1st Place
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3.4Princeton University-0.4713.4%1st Place
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3.3Washington College-0.3713.5%1st Place
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3.39University of Delaware-0.5914.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexa Whitman | 30.8% | 26.6% | 20.9% | 13.8% | 7.8% |
| Aidan Gurskis | 28.2% | 25.9% | 21.5% | 16.2% | 8.2% |
| Nicholas Lorenzen | 13.4% | 15.3% | 18.7% | 23.2% | 29.4% |
| Dru Schimke-Goetz | 13.5% | 17.2% | 20.9% | 22.9% | 25.5% |
| Olivia Coffill | 14.1% | 14.9% | 17.9% | 23.9% | 29.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.