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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech0.47+8.10vs Predicted
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2Stevens Institute of Technology1.76+3.37vs Predicted
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3Drexel University0.72+5.43vs Predicted
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4Villanova University1.57+2.05vs Predicted
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5SUNY Stony Brook2.59-1.48vs Predicted
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6Columbia University1.65-0.18vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39-3.13vs Predicted
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8Christopher Newport University1.96-3.04vs Predicted
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9Virginia Tech0.47+0.10vs Predicted
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10Rochester Institute of Technology0.16+0.04vs Predicted
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11Washington College1.26-4.02vs Predicted
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12Syracuse University-1.01+0.75vs Predicted
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13University of Rochester0.94-4.88vs Predicted
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14Monmouth University0.36-4.30vs Predicted
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15Princeton University-0.51-3.27vs Predicted
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17U. S. Military Academy-1.54-3.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.1Virginia Tech0.470.0%1st Place
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5.37Stevens Institute of Technology1.760.1%1st Place
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8.43Drexel University0.720.0%1st Place
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6.05Villanova University1.570.1%1st Place
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3.52SUNY Stony Brook2.590.2%1st Place
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5.82Columbia University1.650.1%1st Place
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3.87Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.2%1st Place
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4.96Christopher Newport University1.960.1%1st Place
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9.1Virginia Tech0.470.0%1st Place
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10.04Rochester Institute of Technology0.160.0%1st Place
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6.98Washington College1.260.1%1st Place
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12.75Syracuse University-1.010.0%1st Place
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8.12University of Rochester0.940.0%1st Place
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9.7Monmouth University0.360.0%1st Place
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11.73Princeton University-0.510.0%1st Place
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13.55U. S. Military Academy-1.540.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reid Shanabrook | 2.3% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 5.8% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Roleke | 9.5% | 11.0% | 12.0% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Frederick Piasecki | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 12.8% | 10.9% | 6.3% | 3.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Max Gillette | 7.7% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 12.0% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Vidar Minkovsky | 22.7% | 18.1% | 15.9% | 14.7% | 9.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam DeVita | 7.2% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 12.1% | 12.3% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Swikart | 18.8% | 17.9% | 15.7% | 12.1% | 12.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vir Menon | 12.5% | 11.7% | 12.5% | 10.3% | 12.9% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Reid Shanabrook | 2.3% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 5.8% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Anthony Peelle | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 15.2% | 15.5% | 8.5% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| Paul Hart | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 12.1% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Colby | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 13.8% | 30.2% | 26.8% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Rochon | 4.1% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 12.4% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 4.9% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nina Van De Vaarst | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 13.0% | 13.6% | 14.6% | 6.9% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| George Kevrekidis | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 12.8% | 18.2% | 23.9% | 11.8% | 0.0% |
| Nina Tucker | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 9.8% | 18.0% | 53.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.