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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Villanova University1.57+4.96vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39+0.84vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook2.59-0.51vs Predicted
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5Stevens Institute of Technology1.76+0.47vs Predicted
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6University of Rochester0.94+1.85vs Predicted
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7Virginia Tech0.47+2.20vs Predicted
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8Virginia Tech0.47+1.20vs Predicted
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9Columbia University1.65-3.23vs Predicted
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10Drexel University0.72-1.52vs Predicted
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11Syracuse University-1.01+1.72vs Predicted
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12Monmouth University0.36-2.45vs Predicted
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13Washington College1.26-6.03vs Predicted
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14Princeton University-0.51-2.09vs Predicted
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15Rochester Institute of Technology0.16-4.78vs Predicted
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16U. S. Military Academy-1.54-2.39vs Predicted
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17Christopher Newport University1.96-12.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.96Villanova University1.570.1%1st Place
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3.84Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.2%1st Place
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3.49SUNY Stony Brook2.590.2%1st Place
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5.47Stevens Institute of Technology1.760.1%1st Place
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7.85University of Rochester0.940.0%1st Place
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9.2Virginia Tech0.470.0%1st Place
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9.2Virginia Tech0.470.0%1st Place
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5.77Columbia University1.650.1%1st Place
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8.48Drexel University0.720.0%1st Place
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12.72Syracuse University-1.010.0%1st Place
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9.55Monmouth University0.360.0%1st Place
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6.97Washington College1.260.0%1st Place
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11.91Princeton University-0.510.0%1st Place
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10.22Rochester Institute of Technology0.160.0%1st Place
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13.61U. S. Military Academy-1.540.0%1st Place
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4.96Christopher Newport University1.960.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Gillette | 8.7% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 12.0% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Connor Swikart | 18.2% | 18.3% | 14.6% | 13.5% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vidar Minkovsky | 21.7% | 18.7% | 17.2% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Roleke | 9.5% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Rochon | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Reid Shanabrook | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 13.7% | 12.9% | 9.6% | 5.8% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Reid Shanabrook | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 13.7% | 12.9% | 9.6% | 5.8% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Adam DeVita | 9.1% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 12.1% | 10.6% | 11.4% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Frederick Piasecki | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 6.8% | 3.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| John Colby | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 15.9% | 28.9% | 24.6% | 0.0% |
| Nina Van De Vaarst | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 13.4% | 13.1% | 12.1% | 11.7% | 7.0% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Paul Hart | 4.6% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| George Kevrekidis | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 11.5% | 18.6% | 23.0% | 14.3% | 0.0% |
| Anthony Peelle | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 12.5% | 16.2% | 15.8% | 9.4% | 4.3% | 0.0% |
| Nina Tucker | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 5.9% | 10.7% | 19.0% | 52.1% | 0.0% |
| Vir Menon | 12.3% | 11.7% | 13.0% | 10.4% | 12.4% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.