← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1SUNY Stony Brook2.59+2.45vs Predicted
-
3Villanova University1.57+2.92vs Predicted
-
4Christopher Newport University1.96+0.88vs Predicted
-
5Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39-1.10vs Predicted
-
6Columbia University1.65-0.11vs Predicted
-
7Virginia Tech0.47+2.22vs Predicted
-
8Stevens Institute of Technology1.76-2.57vs Predicted
-
9Virginia Tech0.47+0.22vs Predicted
-
10University of Rochester0.94-2.07vs Predicted
-
11Princeton University-0.51+0.74vs Predicted
-
12Drexel University0.72-3.44vs Predicted
-
13Syracuse University-1.01-0.29vs Predicted
-
14Washington College1.26-6.88vs Predicted
-
15Rochester Institute of Technology0.16-4.80vs Predicted
-
16U. S. Military Academy-1.54-2.42vs Predicted
-
17Monmouth University0.36-7.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.45SUNY Stony Brook2.590.2%1st Place
-
5.92Villanova University1.570.1%1st Place
-
4.88Christopher Newport University1.960.1%1st Place
-
3.9Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.2%1st Place
-
5.89Columbia University1.650.1%1st Place
-
9.22Virginia Tech0.470.0%1st Place
-
5.43Stevens Institute of Technology1.760.1%1st Place
-
9.22Virginia Tech0.470.0%1st Place
-
7.93University of Rochester0.940.0%1st Place
-
11.74Princeton University-0.510.0%1st Place
-
8.56Drexel University0.720.0%1st Place
-
12.71Syracuse University-1.010.0%1st Place
-
7.12Washington College1.260.0%1st Place
-
10.2Rochester Institute of Technology0.160.0%1st Place
-
13.58U. S. Military Academy-1.540.0%1st Place
-
9.47Monmouth University0.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vidar Minkovsky | 23.8% | 19.8% | 14.9% | 12.7% | 10.3% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Gillette | 7.6% | 8.3% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vir Menon | 12.2% | 11.0% | 14.7% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Swikart | 18.9% | 17.4% | 13.5% | 14.3% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam DeVita | 8.2% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Reid Shanabrook | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 12.8% | 14.2% | 11.6% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Roleke | 10.4% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 12.7% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Reid Shanabrook | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 12.8% | 14.2% | 11.6% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Rochon | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 2.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| George Kevrekidis | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 12.9% | 21.1% | 21.4% | 11.7% | 0.0% |
| Frederick Piasecki | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 3.9% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| John Colby | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 13.3% | 27.1% | 29.3% | 0.0% |
| Paul Hart | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Anthony Peelle | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 16.5% | 14.6% | 10.0% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
| Nina Tucker | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 9.1% | 23.5% | 49.8% | 0.0% |
| Nina Van De Vaarst | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 15.6% | 11.6% | 6.2% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.