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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech0.47+7.76vs Predicted
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2SUNY Stony Brook2.59+1.25vs Predicted
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3Stevens Institute of Technology1.76+2.17vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech0.47+4.76vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39-1.25vs Predicted
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7Drexel University0.72+1.22vs Predicted
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8University of Rochester0.94-0.45vs Predicted
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9Christopher Newport University1.96-4.31vs Predicted
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10Columbia University1.65-4.47vs Predicted
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11Monmouth University0.36-1.79vs Predicted
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12Rochester Institute of Technology0.16-2.14vs Predicted
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13Washington College1.26-6.31vs Predicted
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14Villanova University0.26-4.25vs Predicted
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15Syracuse University-1.01-2.32vs Predicted
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16Princeton University-0.51-4.50vs Predicted
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17U. S. Military Academy-1.54-3.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.76Virginia Tech0.470.0%1st Place
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3.25SUNY Stony Brook2.590.2%1st Place
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5.17Stevens Institute of Technology1.760.1%1st Place
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8.76Virginia Tech0.470.0%1st Place
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3.75Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.2%1st Place
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8.22Drexel University0.720.0%1st Place
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7.55University of Rochester0.940.0%1st Place
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4.69Christopher Newport University1.960.1%1st Place
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5.53Columbia University1.650.1%1st Place
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9.21Monmouth University0.360.0%1st Place
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9.86Rochester Institute of Technology0.160.0%1st Place
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6.69Washington College1.260.1%1st Place
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9.75Villanova University0.260.0%1st Place
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12.68Syracuse University-1.010.0%1st Place
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11.5Princeton University-0.510.0%1st Place
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13.4U. S. Military Academy-1.540.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reid Shanabrook | 2.5% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Vidar Minkovsky | 23.3% | 22.9% | 15.2% | 14.4% | 9.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Roleke | 9.9% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Reid Shanabrook | 2.5% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Connor Swikart | 19.7% | 18.3% | 14.2% | 13.1% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Frederick Piasecki | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 12.0% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Rochon | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 6.6% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Vir Menon | 13.0% | 10.5% | 14.9% | 13.3% | 13.1% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam DeVita | 9.6% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 12.1% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nina Van De Vaarst | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 12.8% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 6.2% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Anthony Peelle | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 13.0% | 14.0% | 8.5% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| Paul Hart | 5.6% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Curtis Aaron | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 13.7% | 15.5% | 11.5% | 8.6% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| John Colby | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 15.9% | 25.4% | 28.7% | 0.0% |
| George Kevrekidis | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 17.2% | 20.6% | 11.8% | 0.0% |
| Nina Tucker | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 5.5% | 9.9% | 20.3% | 49.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.