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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University1.89+2.81vs Predicted
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2Villanova University1.57+2.56vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.18+0.23vs Predicted
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4Drexel University-0.42+5.95vs Predicted
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5Stevens Institute of Technology1.15+0.72vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech-0.06+3.07vs Predicted
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7Columbia University1.52-2.27vs Predicted
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8SUNY Stony Brook0.90-1.64vs Predicted
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9Syracuse University0.02-0.17vs Predicted
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10Virginia Tech-0.06-0.93vs Predicted
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11Washington College0.80-4.34vs Predicted
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13Princeton University0.05-4.28vs Predicted
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14Rochester Institute of Technology-0.53-3.49vs Predicted
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15Monmouth University-0.85-3.78vs Predicted
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16University of Rochester-1.45-3.69vs Predicted
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17U. S. Military Academy-2.96-2.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.81Christopher Newport University1.890.2%1st Place
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4.56Villanova University1.570.1%1st Place
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3.23Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.180.2%1st Place
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9.95Drexel University-0.420.0%1st Place
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5.72Stevens Institute of Technology1.150.1%1st Place
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9.07Virginia Tech-0.060.0%1st Place
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4.73Columbia University1.520.1%1st Place
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6.36SUNY Stony Brook0.900.1%1st Place
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8.83Syracuse University0.020.0%1st Place
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9.07Virginia Tech-0.060.0%1st Place
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6.66Washington College0.800.1%1st Place
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8.72Princeton University0.050.0%1st Place
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10.51Rochester Institute of Technology-0.530.0%1st Place
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11.22Monmouth University-0.850.0%1st Place
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12.31University of Rochester-1.450.0%1st Place
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14.31U. S. Military Academy-2.960.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spencer Charney | 19.1% | 16.9% | 16.8% | 13.5% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Levie | 13.0% | 13.7% | 13.7% | 13.2% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Barrengos Barrengos | 24.1% | 20.3% | 15.9% | 15.2% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Abigail Proko | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 9.3% | 11.4% | 11.7% | 14.6% | 13.7% | 9.8% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Andrew O'Brien | 8.4% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Gibson | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 13.3% | 13.4% | 12.0% | 9.6% | 4.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Liliana Loosbrock | 11.8% | 14.3% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 14.0% | 11.3% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Manfredi | 7.2% | 5.5% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Henry Sanders | 2.2% | 1.4% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 12.5% | 11.8% | 13.4% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 3.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Gibson | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 13.3% | 13.4% | 12.0% | 9.6% | 4.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| William Sunkler | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Zak Dasaro | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 12.4% | 11.4% | 7.6% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Ian Taylor | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 12.7% | 15.7% | 15.9% | 14.4% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Foley | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 14.1% | 19.4% | 20.4% | 5.3% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Ware | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 11.7% | 16.6% | 33.0% | 13.4% | 0.0% |
| Simone Woolley | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 5.6% | 10.2% | 75.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.