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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University1.89+3.00vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.18+1.31vs Predicted
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3Stevens Institute of Technology1.15+2.76vs Predicted
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4Columbia University1.52+0.89vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech-0.06+4.08vs Predicted
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6Villanova University1.57-1.24vs Predicted
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7Washington College0.80-0.29vs Predicted
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8Virginia Tech-0.06+1.08vs Predicted
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9Princeton University0.05-0.11vs Predicted
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10SUNY Stony Brook1.41-4.92vs Predicted
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11Rochester Institute of Technology-0.53-0.60vs Predicted
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13Syracuse University0.02-4.03vs Predicted
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14Drexel University-0.42-3.73vs Predicted
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15Monmouth University-0.85-3.76vs Predicted
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16U. S. Military Academy-2.96-1.63vs Predicted
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17University of Rochester-1.45-4.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.0Christopher Newport University1.890.2%1st Place
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3.31Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.180.2%1st Place
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5.76Stevens Institute of Technology1.150.1%1st Place
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4.89Columbia University1.520.1%1st Place
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9.08Virginia Tech-0.060.0%1st Place
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4.76Villanova University1.570.1%1st Place
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6.71Washington College0.800.1%1st Place
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9.08Virginia Tech-0.060.0%1st Place
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8.89Princeton University0.050.0%1st Place
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5.08SUNY Stony Brook1.410.1%1st Place
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10.4Rochester Institute of Technology-0.530.0%1st Place
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8.97Syracuse University0.020.0%1st Place
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10.27Drexel University-0.420.0%1st Place
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11.24Monmouth University-0.850.0%1st Place
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14.37U. S. Military Academy-2.960.0%1st Place
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12.28University of Rochester-1.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spencer Charney | 17.7% | 16.7% | 15.5% | 12.4% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Barrengos Barrengos | 24.2% | 20.6% | 16.3% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew O'Brien | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 12.7% | 11.0% | 8.7% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liliana Loosbrock | 11.5% | 12.8% | 10.6% | 13.7% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Gibson | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 13.4% | 12.4% | 9.3% | 5.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Levie | 10.9% | 12.9% | 11.9% | 13.8% | 12.5% | 12.0% | 9.8% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Sunkler | 7.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 11.8% | 12.8% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Gibson | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 13.4% | 12.4% | 9.3% | 5.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Zak Dasaro | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 12.1% | 12.9% | 13.2% | 11.9% | 8.1% | 4.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jeremy McCauley | 9.5% | 10.2% | 13.5% | 12.7% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Taylor | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 14.6% | 17.4% | 10.1% | 3.3% | 0.0% |
| Henry Sanders | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 9.3% | 12.9% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Abigail Proko | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 11.9% | 13.7% | 16.1% | 14.5% | 10.2% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Foley | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 10.9% | 14.4% | 20.3% | 18.7% | 5.3% | 0.0% |
| Simone Woolley | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 3.0% | 5.4% | 10.7% | 75.8% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Ware | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 15.4% | 34.9% | 12.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.