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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University1.89+2.93vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.18+1.30vs Predicted
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3Columbia University1.52+1.82vs Predicted
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4Stevens Institute of Technology1.15+1.75vs Predicted
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5Washington College0.80+1.83vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech-0.06+3.17vs Predicted
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7Virginia Tech-0.06+2.17vs Predicted
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8Villanova University1.57-3.27vs Predicted
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9Syracuse University0.02-0.09vs Predicted
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10Princeton University0.05-1.19vs Predicted
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11SUNY Stony Brook1.41-5.78vs Predicted
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12Drexel University-0.42-1.93vs Predicted
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13Rochester Institute of Technology-0.53-2.46vs Predicted
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15Monmouth University-0.85-3.73vs Predicted
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16University of Rochester-1.45-3.68vs Predicted
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17U. S. Military Academy-2.96-2.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.93Christopher Newport University1.890.2%1st Place
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3.3Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.180.2%1st Place
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4.82Columbia University1.520.1%1st Place
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5.75Stevens Institute of Technology1.150.1%1st Place
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6.83Washington College0.800.1%1st Place
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9.17Virginia Tech-0.060.0%1st Place
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9.17Virginia Tech-0.060.0%1st Place
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4.73Villanova University1.570.1%1st Place
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8.91Syracuse University0.020.0%1st Place
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8.81Princeton University0.050.0%1st Place
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5.22SUNY Stony Brook1.410.1%1st Place
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10.07Drexel University-0.420.0%1st Place
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10.54Rochester Institute of Technology-0.530.0%1st Place
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11.27Monmouth University-0.850.0%1st Place
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12.32University of Rochester-1.450.0%1st Place
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14.32U. S. Military Academy-2.960.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spencer Charney | 18.4% | 17.0% | 14.1% | 14.7% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Barrengos Barrengos | 23.8% | 21.7% | 15.1% | 12.3% | 11.0% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liliana Loosbrock | 10.9% | 12.7% | 13.6% | 11.1% | 13.1% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 5.7% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew O'Brien | 8.0% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Sunkler | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 13.3% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Gibson | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 13.9% | 12.8% | 13.1% | 9.4% | 4.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Gibson | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 13.9% | 12.8% | 13.1% | 9.4% | 4.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Levie | 12.5% | 10.3% | 14.4% | 12.6% | 13.4% | 11.8% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Sanders | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 11.2% | 13.9% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 4.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Zak Dasaro | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 11.9% | 12.3% | 12.7% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 3.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Jeremy McCauley | 9.4% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 13.7% | 13.1% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Abigail Proko | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 13.4% | 14.1% | 15.0% | 8.8% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| Ian Taylor | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 14.4% | 15.8% | 14.6% | 14.8% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Foley | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 10.5% | 14.9% | 19.1% | 20.0% | 5.5% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Ware | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 7.9% | 11.0% | 17.5% | 32.5% | 13.1% | 0.0% |
| Simone Woolley | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 10.4% | 75.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.