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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Princeton University-0.45+1.51vs Predicted
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2Washington College-0.79+1.01vs Predicted
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3Drexel University-0.93+0.50vs Predicted
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4Syracuse University-2.11+0.85vs Predicted
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5University of Delaware-1.13-1.56vs Predicted
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6Villanova University-1.31-2.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.51Princeton University-0.4529.4%1st Place
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3.01Washington College-0.7921.6%1st Place
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3.5Drexel University-0.9313.7%1st Place
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4.85Syracuse University-2.115.3%1st Place
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3.44University of Delaware-1.1317.3%1st Place
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3.69Villanova University-1.3112.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sebastien Nordenson | 29.4% | 26.1% | 20.6% | 13.6% | 8.2% | 2.1% |
| Imogene Nuss | 21.6% | 21.3% | 18.9% | 17.4% | 13.8% | 7.0% |
| Nathaniel Adams | 13.7% | 17.6% | 17.8% | 18.8% | 20.4% | 11.8% |
| Alice Kilkelly | 5.3% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 16.4% | 52.8% |
| Anna Servidio | 17.3% | 14.9% | 17.4% | 19.4% | 19.1% | 11.8% |
| Julia Priebke | 12.8% | 13.6% | 16.8% | 20.2% | 22.2% | 14.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.