← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92+4.58vs Predicted
-
2SUNY Maritime College3.00+6.78vs Predicted
-
3Washington College2.29+8.29vs Predicted
-
4Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+1.59vs Predicted
-
5U. S. Naval Academy4.09-0.05vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.46+0.92vs Predicted
-
7Georgetown University4.74-3.67vs Predicted
-
8Cornell University2.89+0.85vs Predicted
-
9University of Virginia3.01-0.56vs Predicted
-
10Columbia University1.99+2.33vs Predicted
-
11Old Dominion University3.30-3.41vs Predicted
-
12Ocean County College1.73+1.24vs Predicted
-
13University of Pennsylvania2.68-3.48vs Predicted
-
14Stevens Institute of Technology2.02-2.21vs Predicted
-
15Fordham University2.50-4.71vs Predicted
-
16George Washington University2.23-4.61vs Predicted
-
17Monmouth University0.98-1.87vs Predicted
-
18Christopher Newport University0.48-2.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.58St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.1%1st Place
-
8.78SUNY Maritime College3.000.0%1st Place
-
11.29Washington College2.290.0%1st Place
-
5.59Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
-
4.95U. S. Naval Academy4.090.1%1st Place
-
6.92U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.460.1%1st Place
-
3.33Georgetown University4.740.3%1st Place
-
8.85Cornell University2.890.0%1st Place
-
8.44University of Virginia3.010.0%1st Place
-
12.33Columbia University1.990.0%1st Place
-
7.59Old Dominion University3.300.1%1st Place
-
13.24Ocean County College1.730.0%1st Place
-
9.52University of Pennsylvania2.680.0%1st Place
-
11.79Stevens Institute of Technology2.020.0%1st Place
-
10.29Fordham University2.500.0%1st Place
-
11.39George Washington University2.230.0%1st Place
-
15.13Monmouth University0.980.0%1st Place
-
15.98Christopher Newport University0.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Greenslade | 10.7% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ted Green | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Mildred Conroy | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 2.9% |
| Austen Anderson | 10.8% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Clark Hayes | 14.0% | 13.9% | 13.1% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Liberty | 6.9% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Chris Barnard | 25.4% | 21.0% | 15.3% | 11.9% | 9.7% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vincent Andrews | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Christopher Stessing | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| John Croll | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 12.6% | 10.0% | 5.1% |
| Scott Hoffmann | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Schippe | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 15.7% | 15.6% | 8.8% |
| Michael Russom | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Christian Geary | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 8.1% | 3.6% |
| Joseph Turchiano | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
| Meredith Carroll | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 2.6% |
| Paul Luisi | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 12.6% | 24.8% | 27.9% |
| Ian McAllister | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 8.9% | 20.1% | 47.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.