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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.18+2.38vs Predicted
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2Columbia University1.52+2.78vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University1.89+0.99vs Predicted
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4Stevens Institute of Technology1.15+1.82vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech-0.06+4.10vs Predicted
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6SUNY Stony Brook1.41-0.82vs Predicted
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7Drexel University-0.42+3.01vs Predicted
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8Villanova University1.57-3.20vs Predicted
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9Washington College0.80-2.32vs Predicted
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10Rochester Institute of Technology-0.53+0.44vs Predicted
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11Virginia Tech-0.06-1.90vs Predicted
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12Syracuse University0.02-3.08vs Predicted
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13Princeton University0.05-3.93vs Predicted
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15University of Rochester-1.45-2.53vs Predicted
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16Monmouth University-0.85-4.92vs Predicted
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17U. S. Military Academy-2.96-2.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.38Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.180.2%1st Place
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4.78Columbia University1.520.1%1st Place
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3.99Christopher Newport University1.890.2%1st Place
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5.82Stevens Institute of Technology1.150.1%1st Place
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9.1Virginia Tech-0.060.0%1st Place
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5.18SUNY Stony Brook1.410.1%1st Place
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10.01Drexel University-0.420.0%1st Place
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4.8Villanova University1.570.1%1st Place
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6.68Washington College0.800.0%1st Place
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10.44Rochester Institute of Technology-0.530.0%1st Place
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9.1Virginia Tech-0.060.0%1st Place
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8.92Syracuse University0.020.0%1st Place
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9.07Princeton University0.050.0%1st Place
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12.47University of Rochester-1.450.0%1st Place
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11.08Monmouth University-0.850.0%1st Place
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14.3U. S. Military Academy-2.960.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Barrengos Barrengos | 24.2% | 19.0% | 16.6% | 13.4% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liliana Loosbrock | 11.0% | 14.5% | 13.7% | 10.1% | 12.8% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Spencer Charney | 17.7% | 14.9% | 14.8% | 13.7% | 12.1% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew O'Brien | 7.8% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 12.7% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Gibson | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 15.2% | 13.0% | 8.9% | 4.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Jeremy McCauley | 9.8% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 13.7% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 11.2% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Abigail Proko | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 12.7% | 12.0% | 14.8% | 13.9% | 10.2% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Levie | 12.6% | 12.4% | 12.1% | 13.6% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Sunkler | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 12.4% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ian Taylor | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 12.1% | 14.1% | 17.3% | 11.4% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Gibson | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 15.2% | 13.0% | 8.9% | 4.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Henry Sanders | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 13.5% | 11.4% | 8.3% | 4.3% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Zak Dasaro | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 12.8% | 13.7% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 3.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Ware | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 14.6% | 36.6% | 14.7% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Foley | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 11.0% | 14.8% | 20.5% | 16.9% | 3.9% | 0.0% |
| Simone Woolley | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 11.7% | 74.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.