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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stevens Institute of Technology1.15+4.39vs Predicted
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2SUNY Stony Brook1.41+2.68vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University1.89+0.67vs Predicted
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4Washington College0.80+2.41vs Predicted
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5Columbia University1.52-0.36vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech-0.06+2.88vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.18-3.88vs Predicted
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8Princeton University0.05+0.54vs Predicted
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9Villanova University0.11-0.64vs Predicted
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10Drexel University-0.42-0.15vs Predicted
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11Syracuse University0.02-2.39vs Predicted
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12Virginia Tech-0.06-3.12vs Predicted
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13Rochester Institute of Technology-0.53-2.69vs Predicted
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15University of Rochester-1.45-2.63vs Predicted
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16Monmouth University-0.85-5.10vs Predicted
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17U. S. Military Academy-2.96-2.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.39Stevens Institute of Technology1.150.1%1st Place
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4.68SUNY Stony Brook1.410.1%1st Place
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3.67Christopher Newport University1.890.2%1st Place
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6.41Washington College0.800.1%1st Place
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4.64Columbia University1.520.1%1st Place
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8.88Virginia Tech-0.060.0%1st Place
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3.12Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.180.3%1st Place
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8.54Princeton University0.050.0%1st Place
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8.36Villanova University0.110.0%1st Place
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9.85Drexel University-0.420.0%1st Place
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8.61Syracuse University0.020.0%1st Place
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8.88Virginia Tech-0.060.0%1st Place
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10.31Rochester Institute of Technology-0.530.0%1st Place
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12.37University of Rochester-1.450.0%1st Place
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10.9Monmouth University-0.850.0%1st Place
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14.27U. S. Military Academy-2.960.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew O'Brien | 10.6% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 9.1% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeremy McCauley | 11.1% | 14.1% | 13.9% | 13.0% | 12.7% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Spencer Charney | 19.0% | 18.2% | 16.1% | 14.9% | 11.4% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Sunkler | 5.7% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Liliana Loosbrock | 11.8% | 14.3% | 12.0% | 12.5% | 13.7% | 12.4% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Gibson | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 12.1% | 12.3% | 12.0% | 7.9% | 4.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Noah Barrengos Barrengos | 26.1% | 20.1% | 18.4% | 13.1% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zak Dasaro | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 3.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Brian Tiernan | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 6.6% | 2.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Abigail Proko | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 13.8% | 15.0% | 7.8% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Henry Sanders | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Gibson | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 12.1% | 12.3% | 12.0% | 7.9% | 4.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Ian Taylor | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 14.8% | 13.1% | 16.0% | 12.6% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Ware | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 9.2% | 14.9% | 35.9% | 14.9% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Foley | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 14.7% | 18.2% | 17.6% | 3.5% | 0.0% |
| Simone Woolley | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 11.9% | 74.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.