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📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Columbia University1.52+3.50vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.18+1.04vs Predicted
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3SUNY Stony Brook1.41+1.81vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech-0.06+4.84vs Predicted
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5Drexel University-0.42+4.79vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech-0.06+2.84vs Predicted
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7Syracuse University0.02+1.65vs Predicted
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8Stevens Institute of Technology1.15-2.57vs Predicted
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9Washington College0.80-2.58vs Predicted
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10Christopher Newport University1.89-6.32vs Predicted
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11Villanova University0.11-2.56vs Predicted
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12Princeton University0.05-3.44vs Predicted
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13Rochester Institute of Technology-0.53-2.67vs Predicted
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15University of Rochester-1.45-2.66vs Predicted
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16Monmouth University-0.85-5.12vs Predicted
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17U. S. Military Academy-2.96-2.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.5Columbia University1.520.1%1st Place
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3.04Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.180.3%1st Place
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4.81SUNY Stony Brook1.410.1%1st Place
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8.84Virginia Tech-0.060.0%1st Place
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9.79Drexel University-0.420.0%1st Place
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8.84Virginia Tech-0.060.0%1st Place
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8.65Syracuse University0.020.0%1st Place
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5.43Stevens Institute of Technology1.150.1%1st Place
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6.42Washington College0.800.1%1st Place
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3.68Christopher Newport University1.890.2%1st Place
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8.44Villanova University0.110.0%1st Place
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8.56Princeton University0.050.0%1st Place
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10.33Rochester Institute of Technology-0.530.0%1st Place
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12.34University of Rochester-1.450.0%1st Place
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10.88Monmouth University-0.850.0%1st Place
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14.29U. S. Military Academy-2.960.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liliana Loosbrock | 13.4% | 14.7% | 13.7% | 13.5% | 11.6% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Barrengos Barrengos | 27.1% | 21.0% | 17.4% | 12.6% | 10.3% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeremy McCauley | 10.4% | 13.3% | 12.4% | 12.6% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Gibson | 2.0% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 12.4% | 10.2% | 12.7% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 4.8% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Abigail Proko | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 12.5% | 14.2% | 13.4% | 9.1% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Gibson | 2.0% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 12.4% | 10.2% | 12.7% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 4.8% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Sanders | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 12.4% | 13.0% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 3.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Andrew O'Brien | 9.8% | 8.0% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 13.7% | 12.1% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| William Sunkler | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Spencer Charney | 17.9% | 18.8% | 15.9% | 14.9% | 11.8% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brian Tiernan | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 11.8% | 13.3% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 3.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Zak Dasaro | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 11.7% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Ian Taylor | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 12.1% | 15.6% | 15.8% | 12.1% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Ware | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 15.1% | 35.0% | 14.4% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Foley | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 14.6% | 18.1% | 18.0% | 3.2% | 0.0% |
| Simone Woolley | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 11.0% | 74.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.