Race 2A

gw-women-invite

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Lenox Butcher 10.7% 10.0% 9.9% 9.7% 8.3% 9.1% 6.1% 7.1% 7.9% 5.3% 5.1% 3.9% 3.1% 2.7% 1.1%
Riley Legault 13.8% 15.2% 10.9% 12.2% 8.9% 8.6% 7.6% 5.0% 5.9% 2.6% 4.9% 2.7% 1.0% 0.7% 0.0%
Aitana Mendiguren 9.4% 8.6% 10.6% 8.8% 6.9% 8.4% 7.3% 8.4% 7.1% 7.0% 6.7% 5.0% 3.0% 1.8% 1.0%
Julia Gowell 2.9% 3.1% 3.8% 3.5% 4.9% 3.8% 5.2% 5.6% 5.7% 6.8% 7.5% 8.8% 10.5% 12.8% 15.1%
Brittney Slook 10.6% 11.1% 8.9% 10.1% 8.9% 7.9% 9.7% 8.3% 6.4% 5.3% 3.9% 3.2% 3.2% 2.0% 0.5%
Olivia Windemuller 7.1% 6.8% 7.7% 5.9% 7.3% 8.1% 9.0% 7.8% 8.7% 8.7% 5.3% 6.5% 5.2% 3.7% 2.2%
Jessica McJones 8.3% 6.7% 6.9% 7.2% 7.5% 8.3% 9.0% 7.2% 7.6% 7.6% 6.9% 5.1% 4.8% 4.8% 2.1%
Bridget Groble 5.9% 5.5% 7.2% 6.5% 5.4% 7.0% 6.4% 6.5% 7.5% 8.3% 7.7% 8.5% 7.6% 5.8% 4.2%
Taylor Brimberg 4.1% 3.8% 4.1% 4.4% 5.5% 6.3% 6.0% 6.3% 6.8% 9.1% 7.4% 9.1% 10.9% 8.4% 7.8%
Charlotte Leclue 4.5% 3.5% 6.3% 6.2% 5.2% 6.0% 5.9% 7.4% 6.8% 7.4% 8.7% 9.0% 7.5% 9.3% 6.3%
Grace Howie 6.1% 7.8% 6.2% 7.3% 8.7% 6.6% 6.2% 8.0% 6.9% 6.6% 7.2% 7.2% 6.9% 5.0% 3.3%
Colleen Baumann 3.0% 2.6% 1.9% 3.6% 4.2% 4.6% 6.2% 5.2% 4.8% 6.1% 8.2% 8.9% 10.6% 14.6% 15.5%
Katarina Catallo 1.6% 2.1% 2.8% 2.7% 3.9% 3.1% 2.5% 3.5% 5.6% 4.3% 4.5% 9.5% 10.8% 14.3% 28.8%
Carolyn Kearney 7.9% 8.3% 8.6% 7.4% 9.2% 7.2% 7.6% 8.2% 6.1% 8.1% 7.7% 3.7% 4.7% 3.0% 2.3%
Hannah Pokorny 4.1% 4.9% 4.2% 4.5% 5.2% 5.0% 5.3% 5.5% 6.2% 6.8% 8.3% 8.9% 10.2% 11.1% 9.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.