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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University2.76+4.12vs Predicted
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2George Washington University2.35+4.34vs Predicted
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3Fordham University2.04+4.55vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University1.33+6.05vs Predicted
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5George Washington University1.59+4.25vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.56-0.23vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.14+0.23vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University1.91+0.10vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University2.14-1.78vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania2.43-3.62vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University1.51-1.49vs Predicted
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12University of Virginia1.31-1.54vs Predicted
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13Fordham University1.73-4.03vs Predicted
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14University of Virginia0.98-2.87vs Predicted
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15University of Pennsylvania2.22-8.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.12George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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6.34George Washington University2.350.1%1st Place
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7.55Fordham University2.040.1%1st Place
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10.05Old Dominion University1.330.0%1st Place
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9.25George Washington University1.590.0%1st Place
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5.77U. S. Naval Academy2.560.1%1st Place
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7.23U. S. Naval Academy2.140.1%1st Place
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8.1Old Dominion University1.910.1%1st Place
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7.22Old Dominion University2.140.1%1st Place
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6.38University of Pennsylvania2.430.1%1st Place
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9.51Old Dominion University1.510.0%1st Place
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10.46University of Virginia1.310.0%1st Place
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8.97Fordham University1.730.0%1st Place
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11.13University of Virginia0.980.0%1st Place
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6.93University of Pennsylvania2.220.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Riley Legault | 14.0% | 14.8% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 8.9% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Grace Howie | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 2.5% |
| Colleen Baumann | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 12.8% | 14.9% |
| Taylor Brimberg | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 9.7% |
| Brittney Slook | 11.4% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Jessica McJones | 8.6% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 1.3% |
| Bridget Groble | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 4.2% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 7.4% | 5.4% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 2.3% |
| Lenox Butcher | 9.5% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.1% |
| Hannah Pokorny | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 10.9% |
| Julia Gowell | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 14.6% | 16.7% |
| Charlotte Leclue | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 8.0% |
| Katarina Catallo | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 10.7% | 14.9% | 25.3% |
| Carolyn Kearney | 7.3% | 10.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.