Race 4A

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

13.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Grace Howie 7.9% 6.1% 7.5% 7.5% 6.2% 7.8% 7.8% 7.0% 6.3% 6.7% 8.4% 6.2% 5.8% 4.8% 4.0%
Lenox Butcher 9.6% 11.5% 9.3% 10.3% 8.9% 7.7% 8.1% 6.7% 7.1% 7.0% 4.7% 3.1% 3.4% 1.8% 0.8%
Olivia Windemuller 7.2% 7.7% 7.1% 9.2% 7.5% 6.7% 6.9% 7.3% 8.1% 7.9% 7.6% 5.3% 5.3% 4.1% 2.1%
Taylor Brimberg 4.0% 3.7% 5.8% 4.1% 6.8% 5.7% 5.4% 7.0% 5.5% 7.6% 6.8% 8.6% 9.0% 11.6% 8.4%
Colleen Baumann 3.2% 3.5% 3.9% 3.6% 3.6% 4.8% 5.0% 5.8% 4.8% 6.1% 8.2% 7.0% 12.4% 12.4% 15.7%
Brittney Slook 11.6% 10.4% 8.5% 9.6% 10.5% 10.1% 8.8% 6.4% 6.8% 5.8% 4.5% 2.8% 2.9% 0.8% 0.5%
Hannah Pokorny 4.9% 3.9% 4.1% 3.6% 4.6% 5.3% 5.4% 5.1% 8.1% 7.8% 7.7% 9.6% 9.6% 10.5% 9.8%
Aitana Mendiguren 9.4% 10.4% 8.0% 8.2% 7.9% 8.7% 7.8% 7.9% 5.9% 7.0% 6.1% 5.3% 4.1% 2.0% 1.3%
Katarina Catallo 1.8% 2.3% 2.6% 2.5% 3.0% 2.4% 3.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 8.9% 10.2% 13.9% 25.9%
Jessica McJones 6.6% 6.5% 9.2% 7.9% 6.5% 7.5% 7.0% 8.3% 7.6% 7.6% 6.4% 6.6% 6.1% 4.0% 2.2%
Carolyn Kearney 7.4% 9.4% 8.5% 7.6% 8.1% 6.2% 8.0% 6.8% 7.6% 6.1% 6.5% 6.4% 5.4% 3.6% 2.4%
Bridget Groble 5.4% 4.4% 5.9% 5.0% 7.3% 7.0% 6.7% 7.7% 7.6% 6.5% 7.9% 8.6% 6.3% 8.3% 5.4%
Riley Legault 13.4% 11.4% 9.9% 11.9% 8.9% 8.7% 8.8% 7.2% 7.3% 4.1% 3.7% 2.3% 1.2% 0.8% 0.4%
Charlotte Leclue 4.5% 4.3% 6.2% 6.4% 5.5% 6.1% 6.7% 6.2% 6.3% 7.6% 8.5% 9.6% 7.5% 8.0% 6.6%
Julia Gowell 3.1% 4.5% 3.5% 2.6% 4.7% 5.3% 4.1% 5.6% 5.5% 6.2% 6.5% 9.7% 10.8% 13.4% 14.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.