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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University2.35+5.45vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University1.33+7.92vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University1.51+6.35vs Predicted
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4Fordham University2.04+3.57vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.14+2.36vs Predicted
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6George Washington University2.76-0.86vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.73+1.63vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania2.43-1.70vs Predicted
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9George Washington University1.59+0.19vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University1.91-1.80vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy2.56-5.11vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania2.22-4.74vs Predicted
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13University of Virginia1.31-2.55vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University2.14-6.79vs Predicted
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15University of Virginia0.98-3.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.45George Washington University2.350.1%1st Place
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9.92Old Dominion University1.330.0%1st Place
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9.35Old Dominion University1.510.0%1st Place
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7.57Fordham University2.040.1%1st Place
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7.36U. S. Naval Academy2.140.1%1st Place
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5.14George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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8.63Fordham University1.730.1%1st Place
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6.3University of Pennsylvania2.430.1%1st Place
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9.19George Washington University1.590.0%1st Place
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8.2Old Dominion University1.910.0%1st Place
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5.89U. S. Naval Academy2.560.1%1st Place
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7.26University of Pennsylvania2.220.1%1st Place
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10.45University of Virginia1.310.0%1st Place
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7.21Old Dominion University2.140.1%1st Place
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11.11University of Virginia0.980.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aitana Mendiguren | 9.8% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 1.5% |
| Colleen Baumann | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 14.8% |
| Hannah Pokorny | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 9.1% |
| Grace Howie | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.9% |
| Jessica McJones | 7.4% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 2.4% |
| Riley Legault | 13.6% | 12.1% | 11.6% | 9.7% | 12.1% | 10.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Charlotte Leclue | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.5% |
| Lenox Butcher | 10.0% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Taylor Brimberg | 4.1% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 7.6% |
| Bridget Groble | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 3.9% |
| Brittney Slook | 10.8% | 12.2% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.9% |
| Carolyn Kearney | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 1.4% |
| Julia Gowell | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 12.2% | 12.8% | 18.2% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 2.2% |
| Katarina Catallo | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 14.9% | 26.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.