Race 6A

gw-women-invite

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Jessica McJones 8.1% 6.9% 8.0% 8.6% 7.5% 7.1% 7.4% 7.5% 6.9% 6.9% 7.6% 6.1% 5.0% 3.7% 2.7%
Colleen Baumann 3.3% 3.4% 3.0% 4.4% 3.7% 6.2% 5.3% 5.6% 6.3% 5.8% 7.9% 8.9% 10.3% 13.0% 12.9%
Riley Legault 14.5% 13.3% 11.8% 11.7% 7.8% 9.0% 8.3% 6.4% 6.1% 3.6% 3.3% 2.1% 1.4% 0.7% 0.0%
Aitana Mendiguren 9.9% 8.5% 10.1% 7.9% 9.4% 6.3% 8.5% 8.8% 5.4% 7.4% 5.2% 5.1% 3.3% 3.0% 1.2%
Olivia Windemuller 7.4% 7.0% 8.6% 5.4% 7.6% 7.1% 7.5% 6.5% 10.3% 6.5% 6.8% 6.5% 5.6% 4.8% 2.4%
Lenox Butcher 9.6% 9.8% 8.3% 9.0% 9.3% 9.8% 7.6% 8.5% 7.6% 4.5% 6.2% 4.6% 2.6% 1.5% 1.1%
Taylor Brimberg 5.6% 3.9% 3.3% 5.7% 4.7% 5.8% 6.0% 5.2% 6.5% 9.3% 8.0% 8.9% 9.1% 9.3% 8.7%
Grace Howie 6.5% 7.4% 6.4% 7.3% 7.7% 6.1% 7.0% 5.9% 7.5% 8.6% 8.0% 7.7% 6.2% 4.7% 3.0%
Bridget Groble 5.1% 4.9% 6.3% 7.3% 6.2% 8.0% 7.1% 8.5% 7.0% 6.7% 8.8% 7.6% 7.2% 5.9% 3.4%
Carolyn Kearney 6.8% 6.8% 9.2% 8.6% 8.4% 7.5% 8.2% 6.8% 8.4% 6.8% 6.2% 6.0% 5.2% 3.4% 1.7%
Charlotte Leclue 4.4% 6.1% 5.4% 4.7% 6.1% 5.8% 6.1% 6.5% 6.3% 8.2% 7.0% 8.4% 9.0% 8.8% 7.2%
Hannah Pokorny 3.8% 2.8% 3.1% 4.8% 4.9% 5.3% 6.2% 5.4% 5.7% 8.0% 7.2% 8.9% 9.7% 12.5% 11.7%
Katarina Catallo 1.4% 2.8% 2.1% 3.0% 3.1% 3.2% 3.0% 4.7% 4.1% 5.1% 5.6% 6.8% 10.9% 15.6% 28.6%
Julia Gowell 3.1% 2.6% 4.5% 3.0% 4.5% 5.7% 4.7% 4.4% 5.4% 6.0% 7.9% 9.9% 11.4% 12.1% 14.8%
Brittney Slook 10.5% 13.8% 9.9% 8.6% 9.1% 7.1% 7.1% 9.3% 6.5% 6.6% 4.3% 2.5% 3.1% 1.0% 0.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.