← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Syracuse University-2.11+3.83vs Predicted
-
2Washington College-0.79+1.01vs Predicted
-
3University of Delaware-1.13+0.52vs Predicted
-
4Princeton University-0.45-1.45vs Predicted
-
5Villanova University-1.31-1.41vs Predicted
-
6Drexel University-0.93-2.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.83Syracuse University-2.115.5%1st Place
-
3.01Washington College-0.7921.5%1st Place
-
3.52University of Delaware-1.1314.8%1st Place
-
2.55Princeton University-0.4529.5%1st Place
-
3.59Villanova University-1.3113.7%1st Place
-
3.49Drexel University-0.9314.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alice Kilkelly | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 11.6% | 16.8% | 51.9% |
| Imogene Nuss | 21.5% | 20.3% | 20.2% | 17.8% | 14.1% | 6.2% |
| Anna Servidio | 14.8% | 15.4% | 17.5% | 19.8% | 20.1% | 12.4% |
| Sebastien Nordenson | 29.5% | 25.2% | 20.5% | 12.8% | 8.7% | 3.1% |
| Julia Priebke | 13.7% | 16.6% | 16.3% | 18.1% | 21.4% | 14.0% |
| Nathaniel Adams | 14.9% | 16.1% | 17.5% | 20.1% | 18.9% | 12.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.