← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1George Washington University2.76+3.96vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Naval Academy2.14+4.91vs Predicted
-
3University of Pennsylvania2.43+3.05vs Predicted
-
4Fordham University2.04+3.42vs Predicted
-
5Old Dominion University1.91+2.97vs Predicted
-
6George Washington University1.59+3.01vs Predicted
-
7University of Pennsylvania2.22-0.27vs Predicted
-
8Old Dominion University1.33+1.90vs Predicted
-
9Fordham University1.73-0.52vs Predicted
-
10Old Dominion University1.51-0.69vs Predicted
-
11George Washington University2.35-4.56vs Predicted
-
12University of Virginia0.98-0.73vs Predicted
-
13Old Dominion University2.14-5.60vs Predicted
-
14University of Virginia0.39-1.53vs Predicted
-
15U. S. Naval Academy2.56-9.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.96George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
-
6.91U. S. Naval Academy2.140.1%1st Place
-
6.05University of Pennsylvania2.430.1%1st Place
-
7.42Fordham University2.040.1%1st Place
-
7.97Old Dominion University1.910.1%1st Place
-
9.01George Washington University1.590.0%1st Place
-
6.73University of Pennsylvania2.220.1%1st Place
-
9.9Old Dominion University1.330.0%1st Place
-
8.48Fordham University1.730.0%1st Place
-
9.31Old Dominion University1.510.0%1st Place
-
6.44George Washington University2.350.1%1st Place
-
11.27University of Virginia0.980.0%1st Place
-
7.4Old Dominion University2.140.1%1st Place
-
12.47University of Virginia0.390.0%1st Place
-
5.67U. S. Naval Academy2.560.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Riley Legault | 14.5% | 15.1% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Jessica McJones | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 1.0% |
| Lenox Butcher | 9.5% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Grace Howie | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 1.3% |
| Bridget Groble | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 2.6% |
| Taylor Brimberg | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 5.5% |
| Carolyn Kearney | 10.0% | 5.7% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 1.5% |
| Colleen Baumann | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 12.6% | 12.6% | 10.6% |
| Charlotte Leclue | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 3.1% |
| Hannah Pokorny | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 7.3% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 8.7% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Katarina Catallo | 2.5% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 13.8% | 16.6% | 22.0% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 2.7% | 1.7% |
| Colleen Roney | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 8.8% | 16.9% | 41.6% |
| Brittney Slook | 11.8% | 12.2% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.