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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University2.76+3.97vs Predicted
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2George Washington University2.35+4.19vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University1.91+4.81vs Predicted
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4Fordham University2.04+3.39vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.43+1.22vs Predicted
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6Fordham University1.73+2.60vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania2.22-0.24vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University1.33+1.88vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University1.51+0.21vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University2.14-2.79vs Predicted
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11University of Virginia0.39+1.50vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy2.14-4.62vs Predicted
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13George Washington University1.59-3.73vs Predicted
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14University of Virginia0.98-3.06vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy2.56-9.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.97George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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6.19George Washington University2.350.1%1st Place
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7.81Old Dominion University1.910.1%1st Place
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7.39Fordham University2.040.1%1st Place
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6.22University of Pennsylvania2.430.1%1st Place
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8.6Fordham University1.730.0%1st Place
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6.76University of Pennsylvania2.220.1%1st Place
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9.88Old Dominion University1.330.0%1st Place
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9.21Old Dominion University1.510.0%1st Place
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7.21Old Dominion University2.140.1%1st Place
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12.5University of Virginia0.390.0%1st Place
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7.38U. S. Naval Academy2.140.1%1st Place
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9.27George Washington University1.590.0%1st Place
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10.94University of Virginia0.980.0%1st Place
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5.68U. S. Naval Academy2.560.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Riley Legault | 14.9% | 14.8% | 12.8% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 9.1% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Bridget Groble | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 2.3% |
| Grace Howie | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 3.6% | 1.8% |
| Lenox Butcher | 10.2% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Charlotte Leclue | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 3.6% |
| Carolyn Kearney | 9.6% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.0% |
| Colleen Baumann | 3.1% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 12.3% | 13.3% | 10.7% |
| Hannah Pokorny | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 6.2% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 1.4% |
| Colleen Roney | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 9.5% | 14.9% | 44.2% |
| Jessica McJones | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 1.3% |
| Taylor Brimberg | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 7.1% |
| Katarina Catallo | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 12.8% | 18.5% | 18.4% |
| Brittney Slook | 12.0% | 12.9% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.