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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University1.73+7.46vs Predicted
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2Fordham University2.04+5.33vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.76+2.04vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania2.22+2.80vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.35+1.57vs Predicted
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6University of Virginia0.82+5.54vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania2.43-0.82vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.14-0.77vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University1.51+0.28vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University2.14-2.74vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University1.33-0.98vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University1.91-3.69vs Predicted
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13University of Virginia0.98-1.73vs Predicted
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14George Washington University1.59-5.00vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy2.56-9.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.46Fordham University1.730.1%1st Place
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7.33Fordham University2.040.1%1st Place
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5.04George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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6.8University of Pennsylvania2.220.1%1st Place
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6.57George Washington University2.350.1%1st Place
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11.54University of Virginia0.820.0%1st Place
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6.18University of Pennsylvania2.430.1%1st Place
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7.23U. S. Naval Academy2.140.1%1st Place
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9.28Old Dominion University1.510.0%1st Place
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7.26Old Dominion University2.140.1%1st Place
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10.02Old Dominion University1.330.0%1st Place
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8.31Old Dominion University1.910.0%1st Place
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11.27University of Virginia0.980.0%1st Place
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9.0George Washington University1.590.0%1st Place
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5.71U. S. Naval Academy2.560.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte Leclue | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 5.3% |
| Grace Howie | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 1.8% |
| Riley Legault | 14.9% | 12.5% | 13.1% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Carolyn Kearney | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.3% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 8.7% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| Katie Purcell | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 11.1% | 17.2% | 27.9% |
| Lenox Butcher | 10.9% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Jessica McJones | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 2.0% |
| Hannah Pokorny | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 6.6% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 1.8% |
| Colleen Baumann | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 12.6% | 14.5% |
| Bridget Groble | 4.8% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.3% |
| Katarina Catallo | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 11.5% | 16.3% | 25.9% |
| Taylor Brimberg | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 11.5% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 6.6% |
| Brittney Slook | 12.0% | 13.0% | 10.7% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.