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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University1.73+7.45vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.43+4.01vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.76+2.04vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University2.14+3.15vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.14+2.28vs Predicted
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6Fordham University2.04+1.55vs Predicted
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7George Washington University2.35-0.63vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University1.91-0.02vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania2.22-2.20vs Predicted
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10University of Virginia0.82+1.62vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University1.33-1.00vs Predicted
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12George Washington University1.59-2.63vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University1.51-3.37vs Predicted
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14University of Virginia0.98-2.99vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy2.56-9.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.45Fordham University1.730.1%1st Place
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6.01University of Pennsylvania2.430.1%1st Place
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5.04George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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7.15Old Dominion University2.140.1%1st Place
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7.28U. S. Naval Academy2.140.1%1st Place
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7.55Fordham University2.040.1%1st Place
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6.37George Washington University2.350.1%1st Place
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7.98Old Dominion University1.910.1%1st Place
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6.8University of Pennsylvania2.220.1%1st Place
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11.62University of Virginia0.820.0%1st Place
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10.0Old Dominion University1.330.0%1st Place
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9.37George Washington University1.590.0%1st Place
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9.63Old Dominion University1.510.0%1st Place
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11.01University of Virginia0.980.0%1st Place
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5.72U. S. Naval Academy2.560.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte Leclue | 6.3% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 5.4% |
| Lenox Butcher | 9.7% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Riley Legault | 13.3% | 13.8% | 13.2% | 8.1% | 11.7% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.9% |
| Jessica McJones | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 1.7% |
| Grace Howie | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 2.0% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 10.5% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Bridget Groble | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 3.3% |
| Carolyn Kearney | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 1.0% |
| Katie Purcell | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 16.8% | 28.9% |
| Colleen Baumann | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 14.3% |
| Taylor Brimberg | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 7.7% |
| Hannah Pokorny | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 9.2% |
| Katarina Catallo | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 11.9% | 14.5% | 23.1% |
| Brittney Slook | 11.7% | 13.2% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.