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📊 Prediction Accuracy
13.3%
Within 2 Positions
5.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University2.04+6.46vs Predicted
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2Fordham University1.73+6.45vs Predicted
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3University of Virginia0.82+8.48vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University1.91+3.95vs Predicted
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5University of Virginia0.98+6.05vs Predicted
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6George Washington University1.59+3.13vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University1.33+2.94vs Predicted
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8George Washington University2.35-1.48vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania2.22-2.20vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.14-2.75vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University1.51-1.60vs Predicted
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12George Washington University2.76-6.71vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University2.14-5.59vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania2.43-7.90vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy2.56-9.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.46Fordham University2.040.1%1st Place
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8.45Fordham University1.730.0%1st Place
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11.48University of Virginia0.820.0%1st Place
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7.95Old Dominion University1.910.1%1st Place
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11.05University of Virginia0.980.0%1st Place
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9.13George Washington University1.590.0%1st Place
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9.94Old Dominion University1.330.0%1st Place
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6.52George Washington University2.350.1%1st Place
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6.8University of Pennsylvania2.220.1%1st Place
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7.25U. S. Naval Academy2.140.1%1st Place
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9.4Old Dominion University1.510.0%1st Place
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5.29George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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7.41Old Dominion University2.140.1%1st Place
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6.1University of Pennsylvania2.430.1%1st Place
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5.76U. S. Naval Academy2.560.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Howie | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 2.7% |
| Charlotte Leclue | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.9% |
| Katie Purcell | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 11.0% | 15.2% | 30.0% |
| Bridget Groble | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 3.7% |
| Katarina Catallo | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 15.2% | 24.1% |
| Taylor Brimberg | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 5.6% |
| Colleen Baumann | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 12.8% | 11.8% | 12.0% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 9.6% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| Carolyn Kearney | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.0% |
| Jessica McJones | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 1.7% |
| Hannah Pokorny | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 11.9% | 9.7% |
| Riley Legault | 13.3% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 11.4% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 1.5% |
| Lenox Butcher | 9.5% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Brittney Slook | 11.0% | 12.2% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.