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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.43+5.06vs Predicted
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2George Washington University2.76+2.91vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.22+3.79vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University1.91+4.01vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.35+1.57vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University1.33+4.03vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.56-1.31vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University1.51+1.34vs Predicted
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9George Washington University1.59+0.06vs Predicted
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10University of Virginia0.82+1.62vs Predicted
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11University of Virginia0.98+0.09vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University2.14-4.59vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy2.14-5.55vs Predicted
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14Fordham University2.04-6.57vs Predicted
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15Fordham University1.73-6.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.06University of Pennsylvania2.430.1%1st Place
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4.91George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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6.79University of Pennsylvania2.220.1%1st Place
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8.01Old Dominion University1.910.1%1st Place
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6.57George Washington University2.350.1%1st Place
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10.03Old Dominion University1.330.0%1st Place
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5.69U. S. Naval Academy2.560.1%1st Place
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9.34Old Dominion University1.510.0%1st Place
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9.06George Washington University1.590.0%1st Place
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11.62University of Virginia0.820.0%1st Place
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11.09University of Virginia0.980.0%1st Place
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7.41Old Dominion University2.140.1%1st Place
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7.45U. S. Naval Academy2.140.1%1st Place
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7.43Fordham University2.040.1%1st Place
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8.52Fordham University1.730.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lenox Butcher | 10.2% | 10.5% | 12.1% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.1% |
| Riley Legault | 14.7% | 14.9% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Carolyn Kearney | 7.9% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Bridget Groble | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 3.9% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 9.0% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Colleen Baumann | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 10.8% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 11.8% |
| Brittney Slook | 12.3% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Hannah Pokorny | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 9.4% |
| Taylor Brimberg | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 6.5% |
| Katie Purcell | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 17.7% | 29.9% |
| Katarina Catallo | 2.2% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 10.7% | 15.6% | 24.1% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 1.8% |
| Jessica McJones | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 2.1% |
| Grace Howie | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 2.2% |
| Charlotte Leclue | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 5.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.