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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan1.40+1.29vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin1.51+0.15vs Predicted
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3University of Minnesota0.39+0.49vs Predicted
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4University of Notre Dame-0.04+0.03vs Predicted
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5University of Toledo-1.22+0.35vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University0.23-2.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.29University of Michigan1.400.3%1st Place
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2.15University of Wisconsin1.510.4%1st Place
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3.49University of Minnesota0.390.1%1st Place
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4.03University of Notre Dame-0.040.1%1st Place
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5.35University of Toledo-1.220.0%1st Place
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3.69Northwestern University0.230.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lane Tobin | 31.7% | 29.4% | 22.8% | 11.4% | 3.7% | 1.0% |
| Andrea Sullivan | 39.0% | 27.8% | 16.9% | 12.0% | 3.7% | 0.6% |
| Cailin Oakes | 12.0% | 14.9% | 20.2% | 24.6% | 22.0% | 6.3% |
| Chloe Frentzel | 6.6% | 11.2% | 14.7% | 21.9% | 31.3% | 14.3% |
| Kristen Ruta | 1.0% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 7.8% | 13.8% | 68.6% |
| Susan Riley | 9.7% | 12.5% | 20.8% | 22.3% | 25.5% | 9.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.