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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Syracuse University-2.11+3.75vs Predicted
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2Drexel University-0.93+1.53vs Predicted
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3Washington College-0.79-0.02vs Predicted
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4University of Delaware-1.13-0.47vs Predicted
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5Villanova University-1.31-1.32vs Predicted
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6Princeton University-0.45-3.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.75Syracuse University-2.116.4%1st Place
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3.53Drexel University-0.9315.2%1st Place
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2.98Washington College-0.7922.4%1st Place
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3.53University of Delaware-1.1313.8%1st Place
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3.68Villanova University-1.3112.8%1st Place
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2.53Princeton University-0.4529.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alice Kilkelly | 6.4% | 5.5% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 17.9% | 48.4% |
| Nathaniel Adams | 15.2% | 15.2% | 17.0% | 19.5% | 20.3% | 12.8% |
| Imogene Nuss | 22.4% | 20.7% | 20.7% | 16.1% | 13.0% | 7.0% |
| Anna Servidio | 13.8% | 16.6% | 18.4% | 18.5% | 19.6% | 13.2% |
| Julia Priebke | 12.8% | 14.4% | 16.1% | 20.4% | 20.8% | 15.5% |
| Sebastien Nordenson | 29.4% | 27.6% | 17.8% | 13.7% | 8.5% | 3.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.