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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.51+1.18vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan1.40+0.25vs Predicted
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3University of Notre Dame-0.04+1.00vs Predicted
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4University of Minnesota0.39-0.50vs Predicted
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5University of Toledo-1.22+0.36vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University0.23-2.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.18University of Wisconsin1.510.3%1st Place
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2.25University of Michigan1.400.3%1st Place
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4.0University of Notre Dame-0.040.1%1st Place
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3.5University of Minnesota0.390.1%1st Place
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5.36University of Toledo-1.220.0%1st Place
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3.72Northwestern University0.230.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrea Sullivan | 35.0% | 31.0% | 20.0% | 10.2% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
| Lane Tobin | 34.7% | 28.4% | 20.0% | 11.5% | 4.7% | 0.7% |
| Chloe Frentzel | 8.2% | 9.7% | 14.3% | 23.6% | 30.4% | 13.8% |
| Cailin Oakes | 11.2% | 14.9% | 21.1% | 24.2% | 22.6% | 6.0% |
| Kristen Ruta | 1.2% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 14.5% | 68.5% |
| Susan Riley | 9.7% | 12.4% | 19.7% | 23.2% | 24.8% | 10.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.