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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan1.40+1.28vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin1.51+0.15vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University0.23+0.64vs Predicted
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4University of Notre Dame-0.04+0.01vs Predicted
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5University of Minnesota0.39-1.41vs Predicted
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6University of Toledo-1.22-0.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.28University of Michigan1.400.3%1st Place
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2.15University of Wisconsin1.510.4%1st Place
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3.64Northwestern University0.230.1%1st Place
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4.01University of Notre Dame-0.040.1%1st Place
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3.59University of Minnesota0.390.1%1st Place
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5.33University of Toledo-1.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lane Tobin | 31.2% | 32.8% | 18.9% | 12.5% | 3.2% | 1.4% |
| Andrea Sullivan | 39.0% | 26.7% | 20.6% | 8.8% | 4.2% | 0.7% |
| Susan Riley | 10.9% | 12.4% | 19.6% | 24.5% | 24.1% | 8.5% |
| Chloe Frentzel | 6.9% | 10.7% | 16.0% | 21.0% | 31.8% | 13.6% |
| Cailin Oakes | 10.2% | 14.2% | 21.4% | 23.7% | 21.5% | 9.0% |
| Kristen Ruta | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 9.5% | 15.2% | 66.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.