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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.51+1.17vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan1.40+0.25vs Predicted
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3University of Minnesota0.39+0.47vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University0.23-0.28vs Predicted
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5University of Toledo-1.22+0.35vs Predicted
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6University of Notre Dame-0.04-1.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.17University of Wisconsin1.510.4%1st Place
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2.25University of Michigan1.400.4%1st Place
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3.47University of Minnesota0.390.1%1st Place
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3.72Northwestern University0.230.1%1st Place
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5.35University of Toledo-1.220.0%1st Place
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4.03University of Notre Dame-0.040.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrea Sullivan | 35.2% | 30.4% | 20.9% | 9.8% | 3.0% | 0.7% |
| Lane Tobin | 35.7% | 27.3% | 19.7% | 11.9% | 4.6% | 0.8% |
| Cailin Oakes | 12.0% | 15.0% | 21.1% | 24.3% | 20.6% | 7.0% |
| Susan Riley | 8.8% | 13.4% | 17.9% | 25.9% | 24.6% | 9.4% |
| Kristen Ruta | 1.1% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 15.4% | 67.7% |
| Chloe Frentzel | 7.2% | 10.3% | 15.3% | 21.0% | 31.8% | 14.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.