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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.51+1.25vs Predicted
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2University of Notre Dame-0.04+2.32vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University0.23+0.96vs Predicted
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4University of Minnesota0.39-0.29vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan1.40-2.60vs Predicted
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6University of Toledo-1.22-0.11vs Predicted
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7John Carroll University-0.97-1.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.25University of Wisconsin1.510.4%1st Place
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4.32University of Notre Dame-0.040.1%1st Place
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3.96Northwestern University0.230.1%1st Place
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3.71University of Minnesota0.390.1%1st Place
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2.4University of Michigan1.400.3%1st Place
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5.89University of Toledo-1.220.0%1st Place
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5.47John Carroll University-0.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrea Sullivan | 36.4% | 28.2% | 17.7% | 11.6% | 4.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% |
| Chloe Frentzel | 7.2% | 8.5% | 14.5% | 19.6% | 23.4% | 18.4% | 8.4% |
| Susan Riley | 8.4% | 12.3% | 19.0% | 20.8% | 19.8% | 14.5% | 5.2% |
| Cailin Oakes | 11.2% | 15.1% | 18.9% | 19.9% | 19.7% | 11.1% | 4.1% |
| Lane Tobin | 31.2% | 29.0% | 19.3% | 12.8% | 5.3% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Kristen Ruta | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 12.9% | 24.2% | 47.7% |
| Molly McCarthy | 3.3% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 14.4% | 29.2% | 33.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.