← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Wisconsin1.56+0.82vs Predicted
-
2University of Michigan0.28+1.16vs Predicted
-
3University of Illinois-0.28+0.85vs Predicted
-
4University of Notre Dame0.37-0.93vs Predicted
-
5University of Minnesota-0.13-1.19vs Predicted
-
6University of Toledo-1.51-0.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.82University of Wisconsin1.560.5%1st Place
-
3.16University of Michigan0.280.1%1st Place
-
3.85University of Illinois-0.280.1%1st Place
-
3.07University of Notre Dame0.370.2%1st Place
-
3.81University of Minnesota-0.130.1%1st Place
-
5.3University of Toledo-1.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carolyn Keck | 50.0% | 29.2% | 13.0% | 5.4% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Sarah Youtt | 13.7% | 23.0% | 23.2% | 19.6% | 15.1% | 5.4% |
| Audrey DeBruine | 9.0% | 12.0% | 16.9% | 22.0% | 27.4% | 12.7% |
| Leah Peluchiwski | 16.3% | 19.9% | 25.3% | 21.2% | 14.1% | 3.2% |
| Bailey Adkins | 8.6% | 13.7% | 16.6% | 22.4% | 26.3% | 12.4% |
| Rebeccca Sadoski | 2.4% | 2.2% | 5.0% | 9.4% | 15.2% | 65.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.