← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Wisconsin1.56+0.85vs Predicted
-
2University of Michigan0.28+1.36vs Predicted
-
3University of Notre Dame0.37+0.25vs Predicted
-
4University of Illinois-0.28+0.21vs Predicted
-
5University of Minnesota-0.13-1.00vs Predicted
-
6John Carroll University-1.25-0.44vs Predicted
-
7University of Toledo-1.51-1.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.85University of Wisconsin1.560.5%1st Place
-
3.36University of Michigan0.280.1%1st Place
-
3.25University of Notre Dame0.370.1%1st Place
-
4.21University of Illinois-0.280.1%1st Place
-
4.0University of Minnesota-0.130.1%1st Place
-
5.56John Carroll University-1.250.0%1st Place
-
5.77University of Toledo-1.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carolyn Keck | 51.5% | 25.5% | 13.5% | 6.8% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Sarah Youtt | 14.1% | 19.7% | 21.0% | 19.4% | 15.3% | 7.9% | 2.6% |
| Leah Peluchiwski | 13.6% | 23.2% | 21.5% | 18.3% | 14.9% | 6.2% | 2.3% |
| Audrey DeBruine | 7.4% | 10.9% | 15.2% | 19.0% | 21.8% | 18.7% | 7.0% |
| Bailey Adkins | 8.0% | 13.5% | 17.9% | 19.1% | 20.3% | 15.0% | 6.2% |
| Hannah Roberts | 3.1% | 3.2% | 5.9% | 9.1% | 15.5% | 27.9% | 35.3% |
| Rebeccca Sadoski | 2.3% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 23.6% | 46.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.