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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University3.02+9.83vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.69+5.93vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston4.09+3.41vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University3.43+5.05vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.73+2.71vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University3.81+1.49vs Predicted
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7Cornell University2.43+6.72vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.16+2.02vs Predicted
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9Stanford University3.74-1.41vs Predicted
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10George Washington University3.41-0.83vs Predicted
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11Boston University3.24-1.07vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College2.69+0.55vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College2.72-0.48vs Predicted
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14Texas A&M University at Galveston3.04-3.27vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island3.37-5.71vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University3.50-7.28vs Predicted
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17U. S. Naval Academy3.63-8.97vs Predicted
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18St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31-4.10vs Predicted
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19Northwestern University1.95-3.99vs Predicted
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20University of Maryland-0.37-0.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.83Hampton University3.020.0%1st Place
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7.93St. Mary's College of Maryland3.690.1%1st Place
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6.41College of Charleston4.090.1%1st Place
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9.05Jacksonville University3.430.1%1st Place
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7.71Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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7.49Georgetown University3.810.1%1st Place
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13.72Cornell University2.430.0%1st Place
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10.02U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.160.0%1st Place
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7.59Stanford University3.740.1%1st Place
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9.17George Washington University3.410.0%1st Place
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9.93Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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12.55SUNY Maritime College2.690.0%1st Place
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12.52Eckerd College2.720.0%1st Place
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10.73Texas A&M University at Galveston3.040.0%1st Place
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9.29University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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8.72Old Dominion University3.500.1%1st Place
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8.03U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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13.9St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.0%1st Place
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15.01Northwestern University1.950.0%1st Place
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19.4University of Maryland-0.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maximilian Kuester | 3.5% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 0.5% |
| Bradley Adam | 8.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Stefano Peschiera | 11.2% | 11.1% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 6.4% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Charles Sinks | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Sean Segerblom | 7.7% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Balk | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 14.4% | 14.3% | 2.4% |
| Carrson Pearce | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Will La Dow | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Kai Friesecke | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Ravi Parent | 5.2% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 0.3% |
| Kyle Comerford | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 8.3% | 0.9% |
| Karl Rasmus Sayre | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 1.4% |
| John Hanna | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 3.4% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Hermus | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Jeremy Herrin | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Gary Prieto | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Ellie Ungar | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 12.2% | 18.0% | 2.0% |
| Mark Davies | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 9.8% | 13.3% | 27.5% | 4.8% |
| Madeline Mulligan | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 2.4% | 4.6% | 86.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.