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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.46+6.12vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy4.09+3.05vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University4.33+1.30vs Predicted
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4Columbia University1.99+8.19vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92+0.37vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania2.68+3.85vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College3.00+1.59vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87-2.52vs Predicted
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9Ocean County College1.73+4.23vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University3.30-2.26vs Predicted
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11Fordham University2.50-0.39vs Predicted
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12University of Virginia3.01-3.11vs Predicted
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13Cornell University2.89-4.07vs Predicted
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14Washington College2.29-3.04vs Predicted
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15Stevens Institute of Technology2.02-2.77vs Predicted
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16Monmouth University0.98-0.59vs Predicted
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17George Washington University2.23-5.40vs Predicted
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18Christopher Newport University1.61-4.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.460.1%1st Place
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5.05U. S. Naval Academy4.090.1%1st Place
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4.3Georgetown University4.330.2%1st Place
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12.19Columbia University1.990.0%1st Place
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5.37St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.1%1st Place
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9.85University of Pennsylvania2.680.0%1st Place
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8.59SUNY Maritime College3.000.0%1st Place
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5.48Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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13.23Ocean County College1.730.0%1st Place
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7.74Old Dominion University3.300.1%1st Place
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10.61Fordham University2.500.0%1st Place
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8.89University of Virginia3.010.0%1st Place
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8.93Cornell University2.890.0%1st Place
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10.96Washington College2.290.0%1st Place
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12.23Stevens Institute of Technology2.020.0%1st Place
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15.41Monmouth University0.980.0%1st Place
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11.6George Washington University2.230.0%1st Place
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13.45Christopher Newport University1.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Liberty | 7.7% | 6.3% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Clark Hayes | 11.5% | 12.1% | 13.9% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Scott Furnary | 16.0% | 16.3% | 14.9% | 11.9% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Croll | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 7.9% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 12.3% | 14.0% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Russom | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 1.7% |
| Ted Green | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Austen Anderson | 11.8% | 12.7% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Schippe | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 13.9% | 16.0% | 11.2% |
| Scott Hoffmann | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Joseph Turchiano | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 2.9% |
| Christopher Stessing | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Vincent Andrews | 4.7% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Mildred Conroy | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 5.9% | 3.8% |
| Christian Geary | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 7.2% |
| Paul Luisi | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 10.6% | 12.1% | 44.3% |
| Meredith Carroll | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 5.7% |
| Victoria Miller | 1.9% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 18.2% | 13.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.