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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Princeton University-0.45+1.69vs Predicted
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2Washington College-0.79+1.11vs Predicted
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3Villanova University-1.31+0.82vs Predicted
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4Syracuse University-2.11+0.91vs Predicted
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5Drexel University-0.53-2.20vs Predicted
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6University of Delaware-1.13-2.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.69Princeton University-0.4527.2%1st Place
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3.11Washington College-0.7920.4%1st Place
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3.82Villanova University-1.3112.2%1st Place
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4.91Syracuse University-2.114.9%1st Place
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2.8Drexel University-0.5323.9%1st Place
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3.68University of Delaware-1.1311.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sebastien Nordenson | 27.2% | 22.0% | 21.1% | 16.9% | 10.0% | 2.9% |
Imogene Nuss | 20.4% | 19.6% | 19.3% | 17.8% | 15.3% | 7.5% |
Julia Priebke | 12.2% | 13.1% | 14.4% | 19.5% | 22.9% | 17.9% |
Alice Kilkelly | 4.9% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 11.5% | 18.6% | 52.5% |
Alexander Pfeffer | 23.9% | 23.8% | 20.8% | 16.4% | 10.5% | 4.6% |
Anna Servidio | 11.5% | 16.2% | 17.1% | 18.1% | 22.7% | 14.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.