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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College2.72+11.11vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.43+11.42vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston4.09+3.43vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy3.63+4.14vs Predicted
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5Texas A&M University at Galveston3.04+5.72vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island3.37+3.42vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.73+1.00vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College2.69+4.10vs Predicted
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9Hampton University3.02+1.75vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University3.81-2.60vs Predicted
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11Jacksonville University3.43-1.87vs Predicted
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12Boston University3.24-1.86vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University3.50-3.94vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland3.69-6.11vs Predicted
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15George Washington University3.41-5.85vs Predicted
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16Stanford University3.74-8.29vs Predicted
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17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.16-6.96vs Predicted
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18Northwestern University1.95-2.82vs Predicted
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19St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31-5.23vs Predicted
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20University of Maryland-0.37-0.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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12.11Eckerd College2.720.0%1st Place
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13.42Cornell University2.430.0%1st Place
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6.43College of Charleston4.090.1%1st Place
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8.14U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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10.72Texas A&M University at Galveston3.040.0%1st Place
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9.42University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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8.0Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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12.1SUNY Maritime College2.690.0%1st Place
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10.75Hampton University3.020.0%1st Place
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7.4Georgetown University3.810.1%1st Place
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9.13Jacksonville University3.430.1%1st Place
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10.14Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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9.06Old Dominion University3.500.1%1st Place
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7.89St. Mary's College of Maryland3.690.1%1st Place
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9.15George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
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7.71Stanford University3.740.1%1st Place
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10.04U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.160.1%1st Place
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15.18Northwestern University1.950.0%1st Place
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13.77St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.0%1st Place
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19.42University of Maryland-0.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karl Rasmus Sayre | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 7.8% | 1.0% |
| Thomas Balk | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 13.0% | 13.9% | 1.8% |
| Stefano Peschiera | 10.8% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gary Prieto | 7.6% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| John Hanna | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Sarah Hermus | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Charles Sinks | 6.0% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Kyle Comerford | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 1.0% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 0.5% |
| Sean Segerblom | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Ravi Parent | 5.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 0.1% |
| Jeremy Herrin | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Adam | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Kai Friesecke | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Will La Dow | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Carrson Pearce | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
| Mark Davies | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 15.2% | 28.0% | 4.7% |
| Ellie Ungar | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 11.5% | 13.2% | 16.4% | 2.5% |
| Madeline Mulligan | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 86.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.