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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston4.09+5.30vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.37+7.39vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College2.72+9.26vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.43+9.37vs Predicted
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5Texas A&M University at Galveston3.04+5.72vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.73+1.82vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy3.63+1.41vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.69-0.28vs Predicted
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9Hampton University3.02+1.70vs Predicted
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10Jacksonville University3.43-0.90vs Predicted
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11Stanford University3.74-3.17vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University3.50-2.99vs Predicted
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13Boston University3.24-2.73vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.16-3.77vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31-1.27vs Predicted
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16Northwestern University1.95-1.00vs Predicted
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17George Washington University3.41-8.01vs Predicted
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18Georgetown University3.81-10.52vs Predicted
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19SUNY Maritime College2.69-6.74vs Predicted
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20University of Maryland-0.37-0.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.3College of Charleston4.090.1%1st Place
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9.39University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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12.26Eckerd College2.720.0%1st Place
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13.37Cornell University2.430.0%1st Place
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10.72Texas A&M University at Galveston3.040.0%1st Place
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7.82Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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8.41U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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7.72St. Mary's College of Maryland3.690.1%1st Place
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10.7Hampton University3.020.0%1st Place
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9.1Jacksonville University3.430.1%1st Place
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7.83Stanford University3.740.1%1st Place
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9.01Old Dominion University3.500.1%1st Place
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10.27Boston University3.240.0%1st Place
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10.23U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.160.0%1st Place
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13.73St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.0%1st Place
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15.0Northwestern University1.950.0%1st Place
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8.99George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
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7.48Georgetown University3.810.1%1st Place
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12.26SUNY Maritime College2.690.0%1st Place
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19.39University of Maryland-0.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stefano Peschiera | 12.0% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Hermus | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Karl Rasmus Sayre | 3.2% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 1.2% |
| Thomas Balk | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 13.0% | 3.5% |
| John Hanna | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 0.2% |
| Charles Sinks | 7.4% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Gary Prieto | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Adam | 6.9% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 0.2% |
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Will La Dow | 9.5% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Jeremy Herrin | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Ravi Parent | 4.8% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Carrson Pearce | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 7.2% | 3.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Ellie Ungar | 2.0% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 13.6% | 17.8% | 2.2% |
| Mark Davies | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 14.3% | 26.7% | 5.7% |
| Kai Friesecke | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Sean Segerblom | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Comerford | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 6.3% | 0.9% |
| Madeline Mulligan | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 6.7% | 84.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.