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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.73+6.67vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University1.95+13.14vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.69+5.04vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.16+6.20vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University3.50+3.69vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston4.09+0.39vs Predicted
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7Cornell University2.43+6.68vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy3.630.00vs Predicted
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9Jacksonville University3.43-0.06vs Predicted
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10Boston University3.24-0.10vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island3.37-1.55vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University3.81-4.45vs Predicted
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13Texas A&M University at Galveston3.04-1.87vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31-0.19vs Predicted
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15Hampton University3.02-4.15vs Predicted
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16Stanford University3.74-8.31vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College2.69-4.86vs Predicted
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18University of Maryland-0.37+1.39vs Predicted
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19George Washington University3.41-9.97vs Predicted
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20Eckerd College2.72-7.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.67Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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15.14Northwestern University1.950.0%1st Place
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8.04St. Mary's College of Maryland3.690.1%1st Place
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10.2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.160.0%1st Place
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8.69Old Dominion University3.500.1%1st Place
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6.39College of Charleston4.090.1%1st Place
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13.68Cornell University2.430.0%1st Place
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8.0U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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8.94Jacksonville University3.430.0%1st Place
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9.9Boston University3.240.0%1st Place
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9.45University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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7.55Georgetown University3.810.1%1st Place
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11.13Texas A&M University at Galveston3.040.0%1st Place
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13.81St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.0%1st Place
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10.85Hampton University3.020.0%1st Place
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7.69Stanford University3.740.1%1st Place
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12.14SUNY Maritime College2.690.0%1st Place
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19.39University of Maryland-0.370.0%1st Place
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9.03George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
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12.31Eckerd College2.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Sinks | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Mark Davies | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 14.0% | 26.8% | 5.9% |
| Bradley Adam | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Carrson Pearce | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 0.3% |
| Jeremy Herrin | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Stefano Peschiera | 9.7% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Balk | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 14.7% | 13.9% | 1.5% |
| Gary Prieto | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Ravi Parent | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Hermus | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Sean Segerblom | 9.2% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| John Hanna | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 0.2% |
| Ellie Ungar | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 14.0% | 16.1% | 3.1% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 0.6% |
| Will La Dow | 7.5% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Comerford | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 1.0% |
| Madeline Mulligan | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 2.4% | 6.0% | 85.7% |
| Kai Friesecke | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Karl Rasmus Sayre | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 1.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.