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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.63+6.96vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.73+5.54vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University3.50+5.73vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College2.69+8.18vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.74+2.56vs Predicted
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6Boston University3.24+3.77vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston4.09-0.62vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University3.43+0.69vs Predicted
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9George Washington University3.41-0.15vs Predicted
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10Texas A&M University at Galveston3.04+0.67vs Predicted
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11Hampton University3.02-0.21vs Predicted
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12Cornell University2.43+1.48vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University3.15-2.56vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.16-3.98vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland3.69-7.24vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island3.37-6.90vs Predicted
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17Northwestern University1.95-2.09vs Predicted
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18University of Maryland-0.37+1.36vs Predicted
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19Eckerd College2.72-7.08vs Predicted
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20St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31-6.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.96U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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7.54Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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8.73Old Dominion University3.500.1%1st Place
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12.18SUNY Maritime College2.690.0%1st Place
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7.56Stanford University3.740.1%1st Place
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9.77Boston University3.240.0%1st Place
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6.38College of Charleston4.090.1%1st Place
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8.69Jacksonville University3.430.1%1st Place
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8.85George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
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10.67Texas A&M University at Galveston3.040.0%1st Place
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10.79Hampton University3.020.0%1st Place
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13.48Cornell University2.430.0%1st Place
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10.44Georgetown University3.150.0%1st Place
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10.02U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.160.0%1st Place
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7.76St. Mary's College of Maryland3.690.1%1st Place
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9.1University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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14.91Northwestern University1.950.0%1st Place
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19.36University of Maryland-0.370.0%1st Place
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11.92Eckerd College2.720.0%1st Place
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13.87St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gary Prieto | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Charles Sinks | 9.2% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jeremy Herrin | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Kyle Comerford | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 1.1% |
| Will La Dow | 7.3% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ravi Parent | 4.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Stefano Peschiera | 9.5% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Kai Friesecke | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| John Hanna | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 0.3% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 0.4% |
| Phillip Schofield | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 11.3% | 13.8% | 14.0% | 2.3% |
| Jack Marshall | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 0.2% |
| Carrson Pearce | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 0.2% |
| Bradley Adam | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Hermus | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Mark Davies | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 14.5% | 24.9% | 5.3% |
| Madeline Mulligan | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 4.7% | 86.2% |
| Karl Rasmus Sayre | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 0.5% |
| Ellie Ungar | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 14.0% | 16.9% | 2.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.