← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1SUNY Maritime College2.69+11.09vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Naval Academy3.63+6.03vs Predicted
-
3Boston College3.73+4.75vs Predicted
-
4University of Rhode Island3.37+5.13vs Predicted
-
5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.16+4.98vs Predicted
-
6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.69+1.79vs Predicted
-
7Georgetown University3.15+3.46vs Predicted
-
8Old Dominion University3.50+0.37vs Predicted
-
9George Washington University3.41-0.15vs Predicted
-
10Jacksonville University3.43-1.12vs Predicted
-
11Stanford University3.74-3.35vs Predicted
-
12Eckerd College2.72+0.26vs Predicted
-
13Hampton University3.02-1.98vs Predicted
-
14College of Charleston4.09-7.93vs Predicted
-
15Boston University3.24-5.29vs Predicted
-
16Northwestern University1.95-1.08vs Predicted
-
17St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31-3.36vs Predicted
-
18Texas A&M University at Galveston3.04-7.30vs Predicted
-
19University of Maryland-0.37+0.33vs Predicted
-
20Cornell University2.43-6.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
12.09SUNY Maritime College2.690.0%1st Place
-
8.03U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
-
7.75Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
-
9.13University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
-
9.98U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.160.0%1st Place
-
7.79St. Mary's College of Maryland3.690.1%1st Place
-
10.46Georgetown University3.150.0%1st Place
-
8.37Old Dominion University3.500.1%1st Place
-
8.85George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
-
8.88Jacksonville University3.430.1%1st Place
-
7.65Stanford University3.740.1%1st Place
-
12.26Eckerd College2.720.0%1st Place
-
11.02Hampton University3.020.0%1st Place
-
6.07College of Charleston4.090.1%1st Place
-
9.71Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
-
14.92Northwestern University1.950.0%1st Place
-
13.64St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.0%1st Place
-
10.7Texas A&M University at Galveston3.040.0%1st Place
-
19.33University of Maryland-0.370.0%1st Place
-
13.37Cornell University2.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Comerford | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 0.7% |
| Gary Prieto | 8.0% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Charles Sinks | 8.9% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Hermus | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Carrson Pearce | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Adam | 7.2% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jack Marshall | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
| Jeremy Herrin | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 7.1% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Kai Friesecke | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Will La Dow | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Karl Rasmus Sayre | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 1.1% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 0.5% |
| Stefano Peschiera | 11.1% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ravi Parent | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| Mark Davies | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 9.3% | 14.1% | 27.1% | 5.2% |
| Ellie Ungar | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 15.7% | 2.8% |
| John Hanna | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 0.5% |
| Madeline Mulligan | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 5.5% | 85.3% |
| Phillip Schofield | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 13.0% | 12.5% | 2.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.