← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Princeton University-0.45+1.67vs Predicted
-
2Washington College-0.79+1.13vs Predicted
-
3Drexel University-0.53-0.17vs Predicted
-
4Syracuse University-2.11+0.86vs Predicted
-
5University of Delaware-1.13-1.35vs Predicted
-
6Villanova University-1.31-2.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.67Princeton University-0.4526.6%1st Place
-
3.13Washington College-0.7918.4%1st Place
-
2.83Drexel University-0.5324.3%1st Place
-
4.86Syracuse University-2.115.2%1st Place
-
3.65University of Delaware-1.1313.2%1st Place
-
3.86Villanova University-1.3112.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sebastien Nordenson | 26.6% | 24.9% | 20.0% | 16.2% | 8.8% | 3.5% |
| Imogene Nuss | 18.4% | 19.7% | 20.7% | 19.4% | 14.9% | 6.9% |
| Alexander Pfeffer | 24.3% | 22.1% | 21.6% | 14.6% | 12.4% | 4.8% |
| Alice Kilkelly | 5.2% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 18.1% | 52.0% |
| Anna Servidio | 13.2% | 15.2% | 15.8% | 19.4% | 21.3% | 14.9% |
| Julia Priebke | 12.2% | 12.0% | 13.9% | 19.8% | 24.3% | 17.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.